Simulation Picks
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks
Understanding Public and Money
Expert Picks
SportslineAI is predicting 11 points for Caleb Martin. He has had 9 or more in 4 of the 5 games in this series. The Knicks are willing to let Martin shoot wide open threes instead of Jimmy Butler, Duncan Robinson, or Kyle Lowry. Martin is taking 5 three point attempts a game if two of those fall we will be in good shape.
Happy to get this total at 1.5 and pay the juice because Kevin Love has reliably hit this over as of late. Love had only one assist in each of Miami's first two playoff games against Milwaukee, but he's averaged 2.25 assists in the eight games since. That average rises to 2.6 in the series against the Knicks.
Like most role players, Strus performs better at home than on the road. During the regular season, he shot 36.7 percent from behind the arc at home, compared to 33.6 percent on the road. In this series, he hit three and four three-pointers, respectively, in the first two games that were played in Miami. In fact, he has hit at least three three-pointers in each of the last four games, thanks to him attempting a total of 37 shots from behind that stretch. With the Knicks focusing on trying to slow down Jimmy Butler and Bam Adebayo, look for Strus to receive plenty of opportunities to reach this over.
Quentin Grimes logged 48 minutes in New York's game 5 victory and appears poised to play another 40+ minutes tonight. Grimes played 40+ minutes seven times in the regular season and twice in the postseason and has eclipsed this combo line in all nine appearances, while averaging 8.4 combined rebounds and assists. Considering he is likely going to once again play heavy minutes, this is a volume based play.
It's never easy fading a player the caliber of Jalen Brunson but this is simply a huge number for the star guard. Brunson averaged 33.7 PRA in the regular season and is averaging a combined 37.4 PRA in the playoffs. He has been held under this combo line in 7 of 10 postseason games. He torched Miami the previous two games and the Heat are planning to blitz, double, and do everything possible to get the ball out of his hands. It is also fair to wonder if playing 48 minutes just two nights ago, in addition to their fourth game in eight days, will have a negative effect. Brunson can play well and still stay under a line of this size.