I do lean Boston to win with Marcus Smart and Robert Williams in (although neither probably 100 percent) and Miami's Tyler Herro out, but I can't not take 3.5 points on the Heat at home. Maybe the fact all those Miami starters in Game 4 took a seat for good early will help stamina-wise. And Victor Oladipo is probably better than Herro right now. The Heat are 5-1 ATS in their last six after a loss. The C's are 1-4-1 ATS in their past six after a win.

Early reports indicate that both Marcus Smart and Robert Williams, who are listed as questionable, are improving heading into Game 5. They are the keys to the Boston’s defense, so potentially having them both on the floor would be huge. Meanwhile, Tyler Herro could be out again for the Heat, and Jimmy Butler’s knee could continue to be an issue. I’m going to jump on this now because, if Smart and Williams are upgraded to available, the line could move further in the Celtics’ favor.