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Sun, Apr 2411:00 pm UTCState Farm Arena
Track OnCBS Sports
Miami
Heat
MIA
Last 5 ATS
W/L64-36
ATS56-43
O/U54-44-2
FINAL SCORE
--
-
--
Atlanta
Hawks
ATL
Last 5 ATS
W/L46-43
ATS41-48
O/U43-45-1
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
64-36
Win /Loss
46-43
56-43
Spread
41-48
54-44-2
Over / Under
43-45-1
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
MIA @ ATL
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MONEYLINE
MIA @ ATL
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OVER / UNDER
MIA @ ATL
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0%
PUBLIC
0%
MONEY
0%
PUBLIC
0%
MONEY
Over0%
PUBLIC
Under0%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Expert's PickMiami -1.5 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+576
6-2 in Last 8 NBA Sides Picks
+378
16-11-1 in Last 28 NBA ATS Picks
Brad's Analysis:

Take the fun of rooting for Trae Young out of this and think logically: You're getting what is basically a coin-flip line on a No. 1 seed taking on a team that wouldn't even had made the playoffs without the play-in. Miami has been the better team in this series pretty much the whole way. Atlanta made one last desperate run to squeak out Game 3 and that's why you're getting this line, but that's not to happen twice. Even without Kyle Lowry, take the value on Miami and say thank you on your way to the cashier.

Pick Made: Apr 24, 9:43 pm UTC on WHNJ
Expert's PickAtlanta +1.5 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+3011.25
154-86-1 in Last 241 NBA Picks
+90
2-1 in Last 3 NBA ATS Picks
Matt's Analysis:

Kyle Lowry will not play tonight for the Heat. Atlanta, meanwhile, may get Clint Capela back from injury and that would suddenly make this a very interesting series. The Hawks have won 21 of their past 24 at home.

Pick Made: Apr 24, 9:33 pm UTC on WHNJ

Team Injuries

Miami Heat
Tuesday, Dec 24, 2024
Avatar
SG
Dru Smith
AchillesOfs
Thursday, May 01, 2025
Avatar
SG
Terry Rozier
AnkleOut
Tuesday, Apr 29, 2025
Avatar
PG
Isaiah Stevens
FootOut
Atlanta Hawks
Wednesday, Apr 23, 2025
Avatar
PF
Larry Nance Jr.
KneeOut
Avatar
C
Clint Capela
HandOut
Avatar
SF
Jalen Johnson
ShoulderOut
Avatar
SG
Kobe Bufkin
ShoulderOut

Season Splits

All Games
ALL
All Games
56%
48-37
38-47-2
44%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
59%
25-17
24-18-1
57%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or PK
49%
30-31
11-24
31%
When Spread was -3 to
SPREAD
When Spread was PK to +3
40%
6-9
8-10
44%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
47%
11-12
5-3
62%
vs Teams That Win 45-55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
48%
12-13
14-22
38%
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
55%
45-36
35-44-2
44%
After a Day Off
REST
After a Day Off
59%
42-29
32-37-2
46%
vs ATL
HEAD TO HEAD
vs MIA
71%
5-2
2-5
28%
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