Rays -1 would be preferable, but this is acceptable now that it dropped about 25 cents. Colorado starting pitcher Antonio Senzatela is simply not good, never once in his eight seasons (not counting the COVID year) finishing with an ERA better than 4.38 -- and his career road splits are better (but still bad) than at hitter-friendly Coors Field. This is what the Rockies have become due to terrible, non-spending ownership. On the flip side, no one mines pitching better than the Rays, who have turned former reliever Zack Littell into a very competent starter his two seasons with Tampa Bay. Only a handful of Rockies have seen him and none with good splits.

I plan on fading the Rockies with abandon until proven otherwise and as long as I can get them close to -200. Especially on the road, where their overmatched lineup is even more compromised. Rays have the better starter and the better pen and better lineup and better skipper. The Rays basically turned Zack Littell into a slightly-above- league-average starter. The Rockies are running Antonio Senzatela out there for their second game of the season because apparently that is a preferable option; he hasn't pitched regularly in the majors since 2022.