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Wed, Oct 028:38 pm UTCOriole Park at Camden Yards
68 F
Track OnCBS Sports
Kansas City
Royals
KC
Last 5 ML
W/L89-79
ATS92-76
O/U70-93-5
FINAL SCORE
2
-
1
Baltimore
Orioles
BAL
Last 5 ML
W/L91-73
ATS85-79
O/U86-65-13
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ML
89-79
Win /Loss
91-73
92-76
Spread
85-79
70-93-5
Over / Under
86-65-13
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
KC @ BAL
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MONEYLINE
KC @ BAL
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OVER / UNDER
KC @ BAL
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25%
PUBLIC
75%
MONEY
24%
PUBLIC
76%
MONEY
Over57%
PUBLIC
Under43%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Point SpreadBaltimore -1 +102
LOSS
Unit1.0
+359
12-6 in Last 18 MLB Picks
+314
6-2 in Last 8 MLB ATS Picks
Matt's Analysis:

I might be a bit of a sucker for the Orioles at home. Are they really going to get swept out of the WC Round at Camden Yards a second straight season? Yes if that offense doesn't get going. Every team in the majors would like to have Adley Rutschman, but he has been lousy for a few months at the plate -- probably the biggest reason the O's have fallen off in the second half. But they were tremendous against right-handed pitching and hit KC's Seth Lugo fairly hard early this year. Needless to say, it's all hands on deck behind BAL's Zach Eflin, who has has a 2.60 since being acquired from Tampa Bay. We push, we push.

Pick Made: Oct 02, 5:53 pm UTC on BetRivers
Money LineKansas City +132
WIN
Unit1.0
+365
9-6 in Last 15 MLB Picks
+352
15-13 in Last 28 MLB ML Picks
Jason's Analysis:

The Orioles have not won a playoff game in a decade and they barely registered a pulse at home on Tues. Naive team could not handle pressure last Oct and it showed in second half this season. Zach Eflin was a late announce as a starter, he had unusual command issues in last start and something might be off. Royals have the superior pen. Orioles haven't hit with RISP in months. Doubt they start now. Eflin got pounded by Royals in July. O's come up small in big spots. Can't control the run game. Adley Rutschman has been an automatic out for months. These 3-game WC series tend to be sweeps, albeit small sample size.

Pick Made: Oct 02, 2:53 am UTC on FanDuel

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Team Injuries

Kansas City Royals
Thursday, Mar 13, 2025
Avatar
RF
Nelson Velazquez
CalfQuestionable
Avatar
SS
Bobby Witt
ForearmQuestionable
Wednesday, Mar 12, 2025
Avatar
SP
Kyle Wright
ShoulderQuestionable
Avatar
RP
Alec Marsh
ShoulderQuestionable
Sunday, Mar 09, 2025
Avatar
RP
Carlos Estevez
BackQuestionable
Saturday, Mar 08, 2025
Avatar
RP
James McArthur
ElbowQuestionable
Baltimore Orioles
Wednesday, Dec 11, 2024
Avatar
SP
Tyler Wells
ElbowOut
Wednesday, Mar 12, 2025
Avatar
RP
Andrew Kittredge
KneeOut
Sunday, Mar 09, 2025
Avatar
SP
Grayson Rodriguez
ElbowOut
Wednesday, Mar 05, 2025
Avatar
3B
Gunnar Henderson
SideOut
Monday, Mar 03, 2025
Avatar
SP
Trevor Rogers
KneecapOut
Avatar
SP
Chayce McDermott
LatOut
Friday, Feb 14, 2025
Avatar
SP
Kyle Bradish
ElbowOut
Thursday, Feb 13, 2025
Avatar
SS
Jorge Mateo
ElbowOut

Season Splits

All Games
ALL
All Games
49%
80-83, -1068
88-75, -473
54%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
42%
35-47, -1151
45-37, -600
54%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
39%
36-56, -1374
64-48, -619
57%
When Line was +113 to +143
MONEY LINE
When Line was -166 to -136
35%
14-26, -821
23-15, +28
60%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
34%
19-36, -1198
41-29, -215
58%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
45%
28-33, -233
36-29, -26
55%
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
58%
53-38, +508
18-18, -97
50%
2nd game without a day off
REST
2nd game without a day off
50%
9-9, -110
12-12, -200
50%
vs BAL
HEAD TO HEAD
vs KC
40%
4-6, -148
4-4, -108
50%
when Seth Lugo starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Zach Eflin starts
56%
13-10, +227
5-2, +141
71%
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