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Wed, Oct 028:38 pm UTCOriole Park at Camden Yards
68 F
Track OnCBS Sports
Kansas City
Royals
KC
Last 5 ML
W/L89-79
ATS92-76
O/U70-93-5
FINAL SCORE
2
-
1
Baltimore
Orioles
BAL
Last 5 ML
W/L91-73
ATS85-79
O/U86-65-13
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ML
89-79
Win /Loss
91-73
92-76
Spread
85-79
70-93-5
Over / Under
86-65-13
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
KC @ BAL
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MONEYLINE
KC @ BAL
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OVER / UNDER
KC @ BAL
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25%
PUBLIC
75%
MONEY
24%
PUBLIC
76%
MONEY
Over57%
PUBLIC
Under43%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Point SpreadBaltimore -1 +102
LOSS
Unit1.0
+359
12-6 in Last 18 MLB Picks
+314
6-2 in Last 8 MLB ATS Picks
+400
5-0 in Last 5 BAL ATS Picks
Matt's Analysis:

I might be a bit of a sucker for the Orioles at home. Are they really going to get swept out of the WC Round at Camden Yards a second straight season? Yes if that offense doesn't get going. Every team in the majors would like to have Adley Rutschman, but he has been lousy for a few months at the plate -- probably the biggest reason the O's have fallen off in the second half. But they were tremendous against right-handed pitching and hit KC's Seth Lugo fairly hard early this year. Needless to say, it's all hands on deck behind BAL's Zach Eflin, who has has a 2.60 since being acquired from Tampa Bay. We push, we push.

Pick Made: Oct 02, 5:53 pm UTC on BetRivers
Money LineKansas City +132
WIN
Unit1.0
+365
9-6 in Last 15 MLB Picks
+352
15-13 in Last 28 MLB ML Picks
Jason's Analysis:

The Orioles have not won a playoff game in a decade and they barely registered a pulse at home on Tues. Naive team could not handle pressure last Oct and it showed in second half this season. Zach Eflin was a late announce as a starter, he had unusual command issues in last start and something might be off. Royals have the superior pen. Orioles haven't hit with RISP in months. Doubt they start now. Eflin got pounded by Royals in July. O's come up small in big spots. Can't control the run game. Adley Rutschman has been an automatic out for months. These 3-game WC series tend to be sweeps, albeit small sample size.

Pick Made: Oct 02, 2:53 am UTC on FanDuel

Team Injuries

Kansas City Royals
Tuesday, Apr 29, 2025
Avatar
SP
Cole Ragans
GroinQuestionable
Monday, Apr 28, 2025
Avatar
LF
Dairon Blanco
AchillesIl
Saturday, Apr 26, 2025
Avatar
RP
James McArthur
ElbowIl
Avatar
RP
Alec Marsh
ShoulderIl
Avatar
RP
Sam Long
ElbowIl
Friday, Apr 18, 2025
Avatar
RP
Hunter Harvey
ShoulderIl
Thursday, Apr 03, 2025
Avatar
OF
Javier Vaz
FingerIl
Monday, Mar 24, 2025
Avatar
SP
Kyle Wright
ShoulderIl
Baltimore Orioles
Monday, Apr 28, 2025
Avatar
C
Gary Sanchez
WristIl
Avatar
RP
Robinson Martinez
UndisclosedIl
Avatar
SP
Trevor Rogers
KneecapIl
Avatar
SP
Grayson Rodriguez
LatIl
Avatar
3B
Jordan Westburg
HamstringIl
Avatar
RF
Colton Cowser
ThumbIl
Avatar
SP
Chayce McDermott
LatIl
Saturday, Apr 26, 2025
Avatar
RF
Tyler O'Neill
NeckIl
Friday, Apr 25, 2025
Avatar
SP
Justin Armbruester
LatIl
Wednesday, Apr 23, 2025
Avatar
SP
Zach Eflin
LatIl
Avatar
SP
Levi Stoudt
UndisclosedIl
Tuesday, Apr 22, 2025
Avatar
RP
Cody Poteet
ShoulderIl
Avatar
SP
Luis De Leon
UndisclosedIl
Tuesday, Apr 15, 2025
Avatar
RP
Andrew Kittredge
KneeIl
Avatar
SP
Tyler Wells
ElbowIl
Saturday, Apr 12, 2025
Avatar
RP
Albert Suarez
ShoulderIl
Friday, Mar 21, 2025
Avatar
SP
Kyle Bradish
ElbowIl

Season Splits

All Games
ALL
All Games
49%
80-83, -1068
88-75, -473
54%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
42%
35-47, -1151
45-37, -600
54%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
39%
36-56, -1374
64-48, -619
57%
When Line was +113 to +143
MONEY LINE
When Line was -166 to -136
35%
14-26, -821
23-15, +28
60%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
34%
19-36, -1198
41-29, -215
58%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
45%
28-33, -233
36-29, -26
55%
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
58%
53-38, +508
18-18, -97
50%
2nd game without a day off
REST
2nd game without a day off
50%
9-9, -110
12-12, -200
50%
vs BAL
HEAD TO HEAD
vs KC
40%
4-6, -148
4-4, -108
50%
when Seth Lugo starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Zach Eflin starts
56%
13-10, +227
5-2, +141
71%
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