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Ha-Seong Kim has never struck out against Kyle Freeland in 22 plate appearances. He's hitting nearly .400 in this matchup and even though I don't love small sample sizes, this is certainly an interesting spot. We get the game in Colorado, and the lefty matchup for Kim is one he hit .300 in last year, albeit he's been worse this year but not bad. He hit a home run last night and Freeland has allowed opposing righties to hit .300 this year with 11 home runs in 60 innings. I like the over 2.5 HRRBI at +120 a lot, so that is my main 1u play, but I don't mind a half unit on the total bases as well!
San Diego's Dylan Cease is capable of no-hitting the Rockies today -- there has been only one no-no at hitter-happy Coors Field in its history -- but also capable of allowing six earned in the first. That's just who he is at times. Cease had been stellar of late but was blasted last time out by a bad Miami lineup as he tends to pitch to his competition.
Colorado's Kyle Freeland hasn't gone five full in his past two but a blister was the reason last time out against these Braves in Atlanta, and he got a bit of extra time off between starts so presumably he should be fine here, although I can't exactly relate to pitching with a blister. Can't feel good. Believe I pitched once with cooties in Little League. At least my sister said I had them, but what does she know? Freeland's home splits are significantly better than away.
The surging Padres are just 4-6 vs the hapless Rockies this season but took 2 of 3 in their last series and entered this series Friday winning 19 of their last 22 (12 wins by 2+ runs in that span). They entered Fri 16-5 in their last 21 on road (12 of those wins by 2+). Dylan Cease was awesome in start vs COL and ordinary in the other. Kyle Freeland has been much better at home than road but that 1.5 WHIP will be a problem vs Friars OBP superiority, He hasn't finished 5 IP in his last 2 starts. Padres have not allowed a run in 3 of Cease's last 4 road starts.