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The Giants are one of those clubs I try to avoid backing. Not really sure why just has been that way a few years. Can't ever seem to figure them out. However, we'll do a little here behind Blake Snell as he looked almost like his 2023 Cy self last time out in his return from the IL after a disastrous start to the season. Still would have likely passed but the Twins are down arguably their two best hitters in Carlos Correa and Jose Miranda. Minnesota starting pitcher Chris Paddack has an ERA near 8.00 on the road.
Blake Snell looked excellent in his return from IL, giving up just one hit in five innings. But I need to see more to be convinced he's past his struggles from the rest of the year when he allowed at least three earned runs in all six starts. He's up against a Twins offense that owns an excellent 124 OPS+ against lefties and a 134 OPS+ over the last four weeks. Only five of 24 lefty starters have held the Twins under two earned runs all year, and I don't think Snell has done enough to expect him to join that group today.
Blake Snell finally had a competent outing last time out after another long injury absence, but threw just 73 pitches and still walked 3 guys in 5 IP. It's been a lost season for him, and MIN is 16-9 vs LH starters. Twins are hot, 20-10 in last 30 and 13-7 in last 20. Chris Paddack has stabilized, I guess, since a horrid start to season. Despite his woes MIN 5-2 in his last 7 starts, all wins by 2+ runs. They've scored at least 5 runs in all those starts and 48 total runs in those 7 outings. Twins enter this rubber game having won 4 straight road series (9-5 in that span).