The total continues to move down. Toronto’s Jose Berrios has allowed three runs, or more, twice in 11 out of his 13 starts this season. Colin Rea has only allowed three runs in his last 15 innings for the Brewers. Toronto has been struggling offensively over their last seven days, hitting .222 with a .672 OPS. With the line continuing to drop, there could be a pitcher’s duel tonight in Milwaukee.

Blue Jays starter Jose Berrios is working on a string of five straight quality starts and has allowed more than three earned just once all season. Brewers counterpart Colin Rea doesn't go super deep in games but has surrendered just three earned combined in his past three. Milwaukee was blown out Sunday so the bullpen is in good shape behind Rea (bet that guy got teased with a certain term on the playground as a youngster). Collectively, the Jays are hitting just .230 on the road.

Brewers continue to play very solid ball (7-3 last 10; 12-8 last 20; 18-12 last 30), and are 18-10 at home. They also have held up very well against the AL, despite playing a lot of AL East opponents, going 17-11 in inter league. Jays are wildly inconsistent and their pen stinks and they are below .500 on road. Jose Berrios was unreal in April (1.19 ERA) but middling since (4.43 ERA). Brewers fare well with Colin Rea on the mound, going 8-4 overall and 4-1 at home. He keeps them in games.