George Kirby has struggled in two of his last three starts, and much of those struggles stem from giving up five combined home runs in those outings. The Nationals rank 26th in HR/9 and team home run leader C.J. Abrams has yet to launch one in May, so the long ball shouldn't be a concern for Kirby here, and with a dominant 54:5 K:BB ratio, he should be a bigger favorite to hold the Nats to two earned runs or less, which seven of their last eight opposing starters have also done.

Feels trap-ish for Seattle off a big series at the Yankees that ended Thursday, and the M's offense largely disappeared in the final two games. The Nats are free-falling but were off Thursday and MacKenzie Gore has allowed two earned or fewer in five straight. All depends on which George Kirby we get most likely. The M's starter will be electric or struggle, and there's usually no in between. I'll take 3-2 either way.