Simulation Picks

SPREAD

MIN @ DET

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MONEYLINE

MIN @ DET

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OVER / UNDER

MIN @ DET

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29%

PUBLIC

71%

MONEY

65%

PUBLIC

35%

MONEY

Over18%

PUBLIC

Under82%

Over

MONEY

Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Money LineMinnesota -120

WIN

Unit1.0

Grace Remington

Amazing Grace

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Grace's Analysis:

Minny has the pitching advantage in both the starter and bullpen. The underlying metrics on Joe Ryan's FB worry me, but his splitter and sweeper look great and his 37.7% chase rate is excellent. He's allowed just one walk while striking out 12 in two starts. Kenta Maeda, on the other hand, is riding the struggle bus. Against the White Sox and Athletics, he's allowed a combined 9 runs and 5 walks, with only 5 strikeouts. His 8.07 xERA and .424 xwOBA are in the bottom 6% of the league.

Pick Made: Apr 13, 4:43 pm UTC on FanDuel

Point SpreadDetroit +1.5 -140

LOSS

Unit0.5

Matt Severance

Severance Pays

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+359

12-6 in Last 18 MLB Picks

+314

6-2 in Last 8 MLB ATS Picks

+1726.5

45-21 in Last 66 MIN ATS Picks

Matt's Analysis:

No Carlos Correa for the Twins, and he was one of the rare Minnesota players who was hitting as the team is batting a league-low .184. Not really sure the Twins should even be favored.

Pick Made: Apr 13, 1:41 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey