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Patrick Corbin had a decent spring, by. his standards, but his track record against the Braves is even worse than his overall numbers. Last season he posted a 9.42 ERA and 2.37 WHIP against Atlanta. Matt Olson (1.333 OPS) and Ozzie Albies (1.377 OPS) in particular have been lethal against Corbin. With ace Max Fried on the mound, look for the Braves to start strong and cover the run line at -135.
The Nationals are in the early stages of a rebuild. Their starting rotation is in such shambles that Patrick Corbin will get the Opening Day nod. Last season, he had a bloated 1.70 WHIP and allowed 1.6 HR/9. His strikeout rate also dropped to 18 percent, which was the lowest mark of his career. He made four total starts against the Braves, allowing 16 runs (15 earned) over 14 1/3 innings. The Braves will counter with Max Fried, who has had a WHIP below 1.10 in each of the last three seasons. This has the makings of a lopsided score in favor of the Braves.