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With the possibility of a push at 4-3 or 5-2, I like this under. Runs and hits will be hard to come by and both bullpens have been pretty good so far this series. The Dodgers are essentially already bringing in a reliever to face the righties at the top of the Giants lineup, and Julio Urias relieved and close the World Series last season so he is very comfortable in this position. I don't think either team scores more than 4 tonight, take the under.
Including Game 1, the Giants have won 19 of Logan Webb's last 21 starts. Anyone worried about the Dodgers seeing him on a quick turnaround should know he faced them on consecutive starts in late July and only allowed one run in six innings in the second one. There's every reason to believe he'll again have a great outing. Tyler Rogers, Jake McGee and Camilo Doval are set to close things down, too. The Dodgers are set up well with pitching, too, so the separation point is that the Giants have been defying the odds all year and have yet to falter. It's time for more magic.
I almost have to go contrarian here. What's amazing is both teams have won exactly 109 games this year and one won't even reach the NLCS. Let's call the starting pitching matchup of Logan Webb and Julio Urias a wash. Webb will be the youngest Giants pitcher ever in a winner-take-all game, but the 20-game winner Urias is barely older. I favor the LA lineup slightly and the bullpen a decent amount because there's no way that two of the Giants' best relievers, Tyler Rogers and Jake McGee, are 100 percent as both worked plenty in Games 3-4. Yes, Wednesday was an off day, but still. Even the Giants beat writers admit this. The Dodgers are in much better shape in the 'pen and have outscored the Giants 16-9 in the series. LA also has played its share of winner-take-all games the past two seasons.
The Giants have scored just nine runs in the series, but they don't need much offense with Logan Webb on the mound. San Fran has won 19 of his last 21 starts. He dominated the Dodgers in Game 1, tossing 7.2 scoreless innings. The Giants fought all season for homefield advantage; they're 55-28 at Oracle Park. That should help them get by Julio Urias and the hated Dodgers.
The Dodgers don’t lose often when Julio Urias is starting. They’ve won 27 of his 33 starts and they’re currently riding a 12-game win streak behind him. But the Giants counter with Logan Webb. They are 22-5 in his starts and 13-0 behind him at home, where he has posted a 1.80 ERA. He is the MLB leader in units won (+18.5) for bettors and he comes off a 4-0 Game 1 win. Take the Giants.
Logan Webb tossed a gem in Game 1 in his first career postseason start and I don’t see much changing the second time around. Julio Urias also pitched well in his start in Game 2, and he has been very good in playoff elimination games in his career. The Dodgers have a couple key players not hitting right now, mainly Justin Turner in the middle of their lineup, and the Giants have been a very good team at home all season. The Giants feel like a team of destiny while it seems like the Dodgers have been working their hardest to stay alive. The Giants barely edged the Dodgers in the season series and in the division race, I like the Giants to edge them out one more time.