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I'm sure the Giants will play the no respect card by being home dogs and they did win the season series over the Dodgers, albeit only 10-9. Hard to go against surprise San Francisco ace Logan Webb as the Giants didn't lose any of his 12 home starts this year -- he was personally 6-0 with a 1.96 ERA. Against the Dodgers this season, he allowed just four earned runs in 16 innings. LA's Walker Buehler is a stud but had a road ERA about a run worse than at home and a mortal 3.71 ERA in three starts at Oracle Park, including being rocked in his last visit Sept. 5. The Giants are 42-13 in their last 55 games vs. a right-handed starter.
The Giants won the season series, 10-9. They went 54-27 at home. Starter Logan Webb was 6-0 with a 1.96 ERA at home this season. And they are underdogs! Well, that's because the Dodgers are loaded and won 106 regular-season games. Starter Walker Buehler might win the Cy Young. He is about one run worse on the road, though (2.05 home ERA vs. 3.08 on the road). Both lineups are compromised with injuries to first basemen Max Muncy and Brandon Belt, so we'll call that a wash. The playoffs turn on big homers a lot and the Giants led the league. It's close, but we'll take the underdog.
Logan Webb has gone 6-0 at home this season, but it's the playoffs and Walker Buehler has been nothing short of phenomenal in the postseason. The Dodgers have the stronger lineup even without Max Muncy and were able to score eight-plus runs in all of their final five regular season games. Webb has certainly had a good year, but his OBA in the last 30 days is the highest it's been since April and his ERA is 4.50 in that span. The Dodgers should be able to extend at-bats, work a few walks and get to the Giants bullpen before too long in order to secure a victory.
This is going to be a fun matchup between the two best teams in the league this season with Logan Webb and Walker Buehler facing off. At first glance, I would have been on the Giants as home dogs, but I just can’t pick against Walker Buehler in the playoffs. He is an absolute animal, allowing more than 1 run in a start just once in his last 2 postseasons. He has a 2.35 career postseason ERA, and his last postseason start was a 6 inning, 1 ER, 10 K gem in Game 3 of the World Series. In his last start against the Giants, he allowed 6 ER in 3 IP. However, he faced the Giants four times before that this season, and he pitched at least 6 innings allowing no more than 1 ER in all four of those games. Logan Webb has never made a postseason start and, honestly, before this season he wasn’t even considered a starting rotation option. He has pitched really well this season though including all three times he faced the Dodgers. The playoffs are different though, and the Dodgers will be riding the momentum from their walk-off Wild Card win so I am taking Walker Buehler in what is basically a pick ‘em.
Giants pitcher Logan Webb beat the Dodgers twice in July, back-to-back in a home and away. Both were against Julio Urias, who rarely loses and won 20 games himself. The Giants are 12-0 behind Webb at home this season. Also, Webb’s +17.5 units won this season was the most among all starters. His last six starts have gone Over. The Over is the best play Friday.
Logan Webb is 6-0 with a 1.96 ERA at home, and he went 1-0 with a 2.25 ERA in three starts vs. the Dodgers this season. LA posted a .127 on-base average against him. The Giants have won 10 of his last 11 starts. Walker Buehler is even more dominant, but he struggled in his last start at Oracle Park, giving up six runs on seven hits in three innings. The Giants went 54-27 at home and continue to be undervalued.