This is a World Series matchup possibility to open the season with the defending Champion Nationals at home. The Nats were 14-6 with 6.0 runs per game in interleague games last season, and Max Scherzer is 1-2 with a 1.27 ERA in four career opening day starts. Howie Kendrick will get in the lineup with a DH and the Nats have a much-improved bullpen with Will Harris. This game should be closer to 50-50, take the dog at home.

We have no idea what kind of impact not having fans in the ballpark will have on home-field advantage in 2020, but I don't care. How often do you get a chance to take Max Scherzer at home as an underdog? This is a principle play, plain and simple.

Are the Yankees the best team in baseball? Maybe. Is Max Scherzer the best pitcher in baseball? Perhaps! Home field advantage clearly takes a hit this season, but Max shouldn't be +119 at home, even against Gerrit Cole. I have Washington winning 50.2 percent of simulations thanks to very strong ratings on Max Scherzer, largely due to his slider that has a ridiculous 28 percent swinging strike rate. I'm happy to invest in Max Scherzer maybe the only time he's a home dog all season.