This game was moved to Arizona, but the Vikings have other concerns, as the clock might have struck midnight for Sam Darnold last week at Detroit. It was all too reminiscent of the Darnold from previous years with the Jets and Panthers, and raises some concerns in Vikings camp as Darnold prepares for his first playoff start. Remember, the Rams took a Thursday night verdict (30-20) at SoFi over Minnesota back on October 24, as Matthew Stafford outplayed Darnold when tossing 4 TDs. Also note LA won all five December starts with Stafford at the helm, before bowing the the low-key finale vs. Arizona when Jimmy G was at QB as Sean McVay rested most of his regulars. Play Rams (at Glendale, AZ)

Unders have mostly clicked in Wild Card Weekend and no surprise if this one follows the same. These teams did play a 30-20 game in LA's favor at midseason on October 24 at SoFi Stadium, but there is reason to wonder about the Vikings offense tonight after the clock might have struck midnight for Sam Darnold last week at Detroit, when his performance looked eerily similar to some of his past failures with the Jets and Panthers. Meanwhile, before Sean McVay subbed liberally vs. Seattle, Rams December scorelines became extremely low after that shootout win over the Bills on December 8. LA was 8-4 under into the Seahawks game; Minny 10-7 under this season. Play Vikings-Rams Under (at Glendale, Az)

Our favorite angle of the wild card round might be this total in Tampa. Not as much because the first meeting, back on opening day, landed 37-20 in the Bucs' favor. Rather, it's what happened thereafter, especially as the Commanders got up to speed very quickly behind LSU Heisman rookie QB Jayden Daniels, landing over in 10 of their last 15 games. Meanwhile, the Bucs have trended over all season, hitting 30 points most weeks and 11-3 over to close the campaign. Not to be outdone by Daniels, Baker Mayfield enjoyed his most-productive NFL season in the Liam Coen offense, shattering his career-best mark by tossing a whopping 41 TD passes. Play Commanders-Bucs Over

Slight move upward in price after word Jalen Hurts was a go for the Birds, but this won't be easy for Philly. The Pack, despite losing to the Eagles and twice each to the Vikings and Lions, was in almost all of those games, losing narrowly, including the opener in Brazil when the Birds squeezed a 34-29 win. Jordan Love is also a go after a being forced last week from the Chicago game, and remember how Love caught fire in the playoffs last year at Dallas and San Francisco. With Josh Jacobs now available, the Pack has a more-balanced look, and Matt LaFleur believes he has enough targets (such as Jayden Reed) to compensate for the absence of Christian Watson. Play Packers

Before dismissing the Broncos, keep in mind they won a game at Buffalo last November (thanks to a last-second Will Lutz field goal) in a game with Russell Wilson at QB. The Bills had more trouble than realized in recent weeks, though the masses mostly recall the win at Detroit. But Buffalo also lost to the Rams and had a narrow escape vs. lowly New England, plus another loss to the Pats when admittedly resting starters. The Broncos will have to keep Josh Allen in the pocket, but now-healthy CBs Pat Surtain II and Riley Moss give Denver a chance to stick on Bills wideouts. Bo Nix is also executing everything as Sean Payton dictates. Is an upset in the air? Play Broncos

Considering the nature of this series, a spread this high causes a double-take. Ten straight Steelers-Ravens games were decided by seven points or fewer prior to Baltimore's 34-17 win three weeks ago, part of a four-game Steelers skid to end the season. But note that before the late-season slide, Mike Tomlin had covered 14 of his previous 17 as an underdog, rarely getting the sort of points he is in this wild card game. And prior to the late December loss at M&T Bank Stadium, the Steelers had won four straight in this series. Tomlin has also mostly been able to keep Lamar Jackson in check throughout his career, too....has that much changed in this series in a few weeks? Play Steelers

It's a fact...the Texans have won a playoff game (last season, in fact) a lot more recently than have the Chargers. But a lot has changed since last January when Houston whipped Cleveland in this wild card round at NRG Stadium. The Bolts are now coached by Jim Harbaugh, who quickly flipped the culture and turned Justin Herbert (only 3 picks this season) into a more careful QB. Meanwhile, the Texans dealt with injuries all season, especially to the WR corps down key weapons Tank Dell and Stefon Diggs, impacting QB CJ Stroud, whose numbers (including 12 picks) took a big dip, tossing only 10 TD passes across the last 11 games. Houston didn't close fast, either (4-6 vs. line last ten). Play Chargers

Jimmy Garoppolo is back! He hasn't taken a snap all season (not even the preseason) but with the Rams resting starters on Sunday that means no Matthew Stafford...and Jimmy G in the lineup. He hasn't played since October 30 of 2023 while with the Raiders in a loss at Detroit (save a couple of snaps vs. Denver in the finale), as this has all the earmarks of a very flat Rams effort on Sunday. Meanwhile, the Seahawks are more motivated by personal factors this week, such as QB Geno Smith within reach of several contract incentives, which can be a powerful motivating force. Seattle seems like it's playing to win, while a big Rams drop-off with Jimmy G wouldn't surprise. Play Seahawks

As Jim Harbaugh was basing personnel decisions here on the Steelers result on Saturday, it means Justin Herbert and the first-stringers are in the saddle as the Bolts can now secure the AFC's 5 seed (and get Houston instead of Baltimore in the wild card round). But the Raiders have shown some resiliency by winning their last two games and playing hard for Antonio Pierce and would love to play a semi-spoiler role against one of their hated AFC West rivals. Remember, Vegas scored 63 the last time the Bolts visited Allegiant Stadium last December (with no Herbert). The most startling pointspread nugget of all, however, is Raider QB Aidan O'Connell's 13-3 mark vs. the spread in games he has started! Play Raiders

Everyone seem to be sitting this one out for the Eagles, including backup QB Kenny Pickett, who was knocked woozy by the Cowboys last week. Ex-Stanford Tanner McKee, however, looked serviceable out of the bullpen in relief, and can likely run what Kellen Moore tells him to run on Sunday. It's also a chance for Philly depth pieces like RB Kenneth Gainwell and others to finally get showcased. Such is the gap between these two that Philly backups work a look vs. the wretched G-Men, and the odds of consecutive wins, even vs. Eagle backups on Sunday, is hard to swallow. Drew Lock's 4 TD showcase last week vs. the Colts is going to be hard to replicate, even vs. Philly reserves. Play Eagles

Blink and you might miss Josh Allen on Sunday, as his appearance is likely limited to one series to keep his consecutive starts streak alive before Sean McDermott hustles him out of the lineup before we are treated to a Mitch Trubisky-Drake Maye QB showdown in the Gillette Stadium chill, where the temperature will be below freezing. New England's defense has generally made a good accounting of itself for Jerod Mayo, with most of the issues on the offensive end as Maye finishes his rookie season. (Joe Milton might also see action at QB for the Patriots.) The dropoff from Allen to Trubisky, however, is significant, and this rock fight is perhaps played in the teens (temp and score). Play Bills-Patriots Under

The Falcons will throw everything but the kitchen sink at the Panthers as they need a win and a very unlikely Saints win over the Bucs to steal the NFC South, otherwise it's home of the offseason after this game. Rookie QB Michael Penix has flashed some upside the past two games, and worth noting that even a Kirk Cousins-led Atlanta scored 38 on the Panthers in the first meeting back on October 13. Bryce Young, however, has thrown at least one TD pass in every game he has started for Carolina since re-entering the starting lineup on October 27 at Denver, and Carolina is 7-2 over since. Play Panthers-Falcons Over

Risky maybe to look over in a Brownies game after they haven't scored beyond single digits in the last three. But expect a bit more offense from Cleveland on Saturday with Bailey Zappe in at QB. Not necessarily a Zappe endorsement, but the Browns don't score when they go with DTR, whose marginal improvement over Jameis Winston was that he was unlikely to make as many mistakes. Zappe should at least be able to move the ball more consistently, though we expect Lamar Jackson and the Ravens to do the bulk of the work this afternoon at M&T Bank Stadium to wrap up the AFC North and avenge that 29-24 defeat at Cleveland October 27 (the high point of Winston's season). Play Browns-Ravens Over

As this result is effectively meaningless, with a showdown for the NFC North and top seed in the NFC on deck for next Sunday vs. Minnesota regardless, the Lions could certainly be excused for, if not tapping the brakes, at least giving rest to several key performers, especially on offense which already has a few injury concerns. Will Detroit move as well if 2nd-year Hendon Hooker or just-signed Teddy Bridgewater is taking snaps instead of Jared Goff? The injury-plagued Niners have a chance to save some face tonight, but the offense has been stuck in the mud for a while now, held to 17 points or fewer in five of the past six games, with only the woeful Bears offering a respite. Play Lions-49ers Under

It's a small sample size, and the defense did almost as much scoring as the offense last Sunday for Atlanta vs. the Giants, but U-Dub rookie QB Michael Penix looks like he has given a shot of adrenaline to this Falcons offense that needed a quick pick-me-up after Kirk Cousins began going sideways at midseason. The attraction on Sunday night is the all-rookie QB shootout vs. the Commanders' Jayden Daniels, who has a whole season's worth of starts under his belt and is off of a whirlwind comeback last week vs. the Eagles. Expect some points, as must note that Washington is also over four straight at Landover and has scored 223 points across its last seven home games, nearly 32 ppg. Play Falcons-Commanders Over