Kel’el Ware has started both of the last two games for the Heat. In the first start, he had 20 points and 15 rebounds over 39 minutes against the Trail Blazers. In his second, he recorded 22 points and 10 rebounds over 35 minutes against the Bucks. He has logged at least 33 minutes in four of the last six games and finished with at least 32 combined points and rebounds in all four games. Expect him to play more than 30 minutes again versus the tanking Nets.

The Nuggets have caught fire, winning eight of their last nine games. Four of those wins came on the road. All eight of those wins came by at least nine points. The Timberwolves are just 4-15-1 ATS at home this season and could play this game without Anthony Edwards, who is listed as questionable with an illness. Donte DiVincenzo (toe) has already been ruled out. If Edwards is sidelined, this could get ugly in a hurry. Even if he plays, I like the surging Nuggets to cover.

The Pelicans are 7-3 over their last 10 games with two of the losses coming by seven or fewer points. Ja Morant is questionable with an illness and missed shootaround, so I’m going to predict that he doesn’t play for the Grizzlies. Zion Williamson is out for the Pelicans, but he didn’t play in either of the first two meetings between these two teams this season. The Pelicans still kept both games within 11 points. Take the points.

The Warriors are hurting up front with Draymond Green (calf) and Jonathan Kuminga (ankle) out. Kevon Looney left Wednesday’s game against the Kings with an illness, so he could also miss this game. The Warriors have struggled on the glass, even when they are healthy, allowing the eighth-most rebounds per game in the league. This is a great spot for Nikola Vucevic, who has already grabbed at least 11 rebounds in 10 of his last 13 games.

Dereck Lively II (foot) is expected to miss at least two months for the Mavericks. P.J. Washington has thrived with him out, recording at least 22 combined points and rebounds in each of the last four games. That included a matchup against the Thunder in which he had 16 points and seven rebounds. The Thunder have been playing small because of their injuries at center, which further helps Washington’s case to hit this over in their rematch.

Nick Smith Jr. has moved into the starting lineup in place of Brandon Miller (wrist). In his first game as a starter, Smith scored 15 points over 26 minutes against the Bulls. In his second game, he scored 19 points across 30 minutes against the Mavericks. Regardless if this game is close or if the score is a blowout, Smith should play a lot against a Grizzlies team that has played at the fastest pace in the league. That should leave him with enough opportunities to hit the over.

Donte DiVincenzo (toe) is set to miss his fourth straight game for the Timberwolves. He had become the team’s starting point guard, averaging 5.3 rebounds and 4.7 assists in that role. Julius Randle is also a good passer, which has resulted in him dishing out at least six assists in all three games since DiVincenzo went down. Randle also had a least 13 combined rebounds and assists in all three games. Randle has faced the Mavericks twice already this season and he combined for at least 14 rebounds and assists in both games. Expect him to thrive in both areas again.

This is the second game of a back-to-back set for the Knicks. Karl-Anthony Towns played 37 minutes Monday after sitting out two straight games with a thumb injury. If the Knicks race out to an early lead against the vastly inferior Nets, Achiuwa could see added playing time in the second half. Achiuwa has logged at least 20 minutes in a game nine times this season. He finished with at least 10 combined points and rebounds in each of those games. Take the over here.

Nikola Jovic has scored at least 11 points in eight of his last nine games. That included a game against the Trail Blazers in which he scored 25 points. A good portion of that stretch came when Jimmy Butler was suspended. However, Jovic has logged at least 24 minutes and scored at least 14 points in both games since Butler returned. Jovic should play enough Tuesday to have a favorable opportunity to reach this over.

Evan Mobley (calf) has been ruled out for the Cavaliers. Jarrett Allen only had four rebounds with him out Saturday against the Timberwolves, but it came in a bad matchup against Rudy Gobert. The good news was that he logged 36 minutes. This is a much better matchup for him against the Suns, who are tied for the ninth-most rebounds per game allowed in the league. Added minutes give Allen a favorable opportunity to hit this over.

Jalen Johnson had 13 rebounds and three assists in his return from a shoulder injury Saturday against the Celtics. The most encouraging stat was that he logged 38 minutes. He is averaging 10.2 rebounds and 5.2 assists per game for the season, so we are getting a bit of a discount for this line. He has produced 22 combined rebounds and assists in both of his previous games against the Knicks this season, making this over even more appealing.

The Pistons are 10-4 over their last 14 games. Of their four losses, only two of them came by more than four points. For the season, they are 14-6-1 ATS on the road. As good as the Rockets have been, they are only 9-8 ATS as a home favorite. While I don’t think the Pistons will win, I like them to keep the game close enough to cover.

Nikola Vucevic has recorded at least 11 rebounds in nine of his last 11 games. With how poorly the Bulls play defense, even bad teams are able to keep the score close against them. They recently suffered losses to both the Pelicans and the Hornets. While the Trail Blazers have been awful, they could still keep this game competitive enough for Vucevic to see his normal allotment of minutes. Further helping Vucevic’s case to hit this over is that the Trail Blazers have allowed the seventh-most rebounds per game in the league.

Jalen Duren recorded 11 rebounds in his previous matchup with the Suns. That has been a problem for the Suns for much of the season because they have allowed the ninth-most rebounds per game in the league. Another important stat to note is that Duren is averaging 11.1 rebounds per game at home, compared to 8.3 rebounds per game on the road. This is a great spot for him to grab double-digit rebounds.

This game has blowout written all over it. The Nets are 2-9 over their last 11 games and seven of those losses came by at least 10 points. A strategy I have been employing is rolling with top bench scorers going against them to go over their points prop. If the game does get out of hand, they should play more and receive added shot attempts. This is a great spot for Dalton Knecht, who has scored at least seven points in 12 of the 19 games in which he has played at least 20 minutes this season.