


NBA
JLC
Jason La Canfora has been covering the NFL since 2004 and spent 10 years as CBS's NFL Insider for "THE NFL TODAY" and across all platforms. He continues to cover the NFL as an analyst and insider for The Washington Post and gather information from a plethora of sources throughout the game. La Canfora joined SportsLine as a wagering analyst in 2022, giving out weekly best bets throughout the NFL season, appearing on live betting shows and making other regular appearances on CBS Sports HQ, handicapping NFL, MLB, NBA and college hoops. He also has handicapped the NFL, MLB and NBA for SportsGrid and contributes NFL gambling content for Audacy and The BET QL Network, including hosting BetMGM Gameday during the NFL season. For Jason La Canfora media inquiries, contact SportsLine@CBSInteractive.com.
JasonLaCanforaWe have gone too long without fading the Rockies. Kyle Freeland has been brutal. The Mets have been stellar at home and the Rockies are 10-18 on the RL on the road. David Peterson is dealing for the Metropolitans. This should be a get-right weekend for them and I bet Juan Soto breaks out in a big way, too.
Phillies have righted some of their pen issues and are a wagon at home - 18-8. Brew Crew really struggles to hit on the road and the smallball and stealing can only produce so much. MIL is 11-18 on the road. Quinn Priester has been surprisingly okay but there's a reason the pitching-needy Pirates and BoSox gave up on him. Tough ask here. Phillies starter has been strong.
It's the year of the under in MLB and I'll take it here with these two lineups; Royals can't hit and the lineup goes about 4 deep. Reds are 10-3-1 to the under in their last 14 games on the road; outside of their bandbox the offense suffers. We like the plus money here. Hunter Greene is as good as they come. The young lefty for the Royals has been sharp so far.
The Brewers are 31-21-3 to the under this season and 16-9-1 on the road. Red Sox are a feast or famine offense, and its been a lot of famine lately. They are under in 6 of their last 8. Freddy Peralta has been really good for the Brewers. Bryan Bello is getting back into the swing of things after a long layoff. Neither lineup has been consistent
Corbin Burnes is back in Cy Young form. D-Back mash at home and the Pirates are failures on the road. Pirates entered play Mon 9-16 on the RL on the road, averaging a -1.4 RD in those games. Mike Burrows has seemed overwhelmed in a limited MLB sample on the bump for the Buccos. Pirates have a .588 OPS on the road; only the AAA Rockies are worse.
Ty Anderson gets results but flirts with danger. Yankees have made major gains vs lefties this season, slugging nearly .500 and getting on base 34% of the time with a .811 OPS. Carlos Rodon looks like an ace again for them and the Angels have an unfathomable .433 OPS vs lefties at home (30th, duh!). They somehow have a .177 OBP vs lefties at home, nearly 100 points lower than any team. Have to fade them here. Yanks will get 9 cracks at their staff.
Can't stop fading the Rockies, especially with the types of arms they are running out there and especially in this ballpark, against this lineup. Rockies are 8-18 on the RL as a road dog.
Dodgers bats don't swing as big on the road, where they are more like a top 10 run-producing team (they are 1st at home). Yamamoto is an elite ace and the Guardians have scored the fewest runs at home in the majors, averaging barely 3/G. Guards are 13-8-1 under at home and the Dodgers are under team on road. Gavin Williams can be solid for Cleveland.
Royals are under in 8 of last 11 games overall and 10 of last 14 at home and 16 of their last 21 at home. Hmm. Reds are 9-2-1 to the under in their last 12 on the road. Neither lineup is potential. Michael Lorenzen has a ridiculous 0.95 ERA at home, with batters hitting .189 off him. Nick Martinez's last 7 starts have all produced game totals of 8 runs or less. Martinez has a 2.40 ERA over his last 7 starts
The O's just had to navigate through 3 games in 2 days at BOS and are dealing with all kinds of injuries and questions in their bullpen. They are a bottom 3 team in MLB in win % at home since June 21 of last year. Charlie Morton returns to the rotation after serving in a mop up role. He has a 10.22 ERA as a starter this season (.340 BA) and he cannot keep the ball in the yard. Erick Fedde is back in good form for STL, with a 2.55 ERA in May. The Cards have won 14 of last 18 games and 9 of the last 11 on the road.
A matter of principle at this point. Rockies playing long, rain-delayed game to wrap with the Yanks and now having to face the mashing Cubbies in tiny Wrigley with their AAA pitching staff. Rockies are 8-17 on RL as a road dog. Cubbies are rare MLB team above .500 on the RL as a home favorite. Rockies short on arms, starting a kid with an 11.88 ERA. Don't love the CHI starter but I can live with him here.
Have you ever watched baseball? Know anything about it at all? If you can read a standings chart you can handicap this game. Oh, and Rockies have covered like 3 of their last 17 at home on the RL. Will Warren is starting to put it together for the Yanks and Antonio Senzatela has a 7.27 ERA at Coors Field. That aint good. Yankees have some venom after blowing game Friday.
Twins are without some of their top bats and are under in 6 of their last 9 and 8 of 12 at home. KC is under in 7 of its last 10 and 10-5-1 under in last 16 on road. These teams are under in 9 of their last 10 meetings. Both have strong bullpens. MIN has a .639 OPS vs lefties and Kris Bubic has been downright nasty for the Royals. Bailey Ober has rebounded quite nicely after a slow start. Neither of these offenses is very good.
Will grab this at 1.5. Kyle Freeland has been brutal for the Rockies after two strong starts to open the season and Max Fried has been unhittable and the Rockies cannot hit anyone, but especially not lefties (.602 OPS). Should be a fun weekend for the Yankees. Rockies entered Friday 2-13 on the RL in last 15 home games.
This is a nice ballpark for Michael Wacha, who has stronger home splits but you have to look at where's he's pitched on the road. Wacha has a 2.86 ERA on the season and in his last 2 starts vs the Twins he has a 1.48. Zebby Mathews is very green for Twins and no Byron Buxton in MIN lineup is a big deal. Twins also without their best lefty/lefty guy. Twins were one team during long win streak but quite different on either side of it.