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The Ducks burned me last week, so I was hesitant here. That said, the score in Oregon's win over Idaho proved to be a statistical anomaly in many ways. I was high on the Ducks going into the season, and I'm betting on last week serving as a much needed wake-up call. Ducks by 20+ here.
I love this play so much that I'll risk two units on it. Oregon somehow found a way to gain nearly 500 yards vs. Idaho and only score 24 points. How is that possible? Boise State managed to give up 45 to Georgia Southern and scored 56 themselves. The scoreboard operator will get a workout as positive regression benefits the Ducks this week. Oregon 47, Boise State 24.
I love that the Ducks struggled with Idaho in the opener and I expect a more inspired effort vs. Boise State. The Idaho game was a little odd because despite scoring only 24 points, Oregon had 31 first downs and ran 87 plays. We know Boise can run the football but I still question if they can throw it against better competition, especially if the Broncos fall behind early. Boise allowed 461 yards and 45 points to Georgia Southern in the opener. If Oregon blasted Idaho, this line is at least -24. I’m betting last week we saw an uninterested team that bought into its hype all summer. If that's the case, Boise St will be in trouble Saturday night.