The New Mexico State Aggies pulled off a major upset by defeating the Auburn Tigers as 24.5-point road underdogs last week. Win or lose, they have already qualified for the Conference USA Championship game next week. As a result, they may decide to rest some of their key players. The Jacksonville State Gamecocks have a solid rushing attack, averaging 249 yards per game. They will be going against a team that ranks 99th in success rate against the run. The Gamecocks have a strong defense, ranked 18th in yards per play against (4.7), while New Mexico State is ranked 74th (5.6). This game is crucial for Jacksonville State as they are not eligible to play in the postseason, making this their de facto bowl game.

New Mexico State is 10-2 against the spread, including having covered in nine straight games. Jacksonville State is an impressive 8-2-1 ATS this season. But the last two weeks, the Aggies have defeated Western Kentucky and Auburn on the road, two better wins than RichRod's Gamecocks have earned this season. Give me the home team to continue their ATS dominance. New Mexico State 27, Jacksonville State 24.