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Sun, Nov 2612:00 am UTCFlorida Field at Ben Hill Griffin Stadium
64 F
Track OnCBS Sports
Florida State
Seminoles
FSU
Last 5 ATS
W/L12-0
ATS8-5
O/U7-6-0
FINAL SCORE
24
-
15
Florida
Gators
FLA
Last 5 ATS
W/L4-7
ATS4-8
O/U8-4-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
12-0
Win /Loss
4-7
8-5
Spread
4-8
7-6-0
Over / Under
8-4-0
Key Injuries
Key Injuries
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LB
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WR
Avatar
DL
Key Injuries
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RB
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QB
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DB
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
FSU @ FLA
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MONEYLINE
FSU @ FLA
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OVER / UNDER
FSU @ FLA
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47%
PUBLIC
53%
MONEY
49%
PUBLIC
51%
MONEY
Over55%
PUBLIC
Under45%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Point SpreadFlorida +6.5 -105
LOSS
Unit1.0
+298
11-7 in Last 18 NCAAF Picks
+233
9-6 in Last 15 NCAAF ATS Picks
Sia's Analysis:

I was thoroughly impressed with the limited snaps backup QB Max Brown received last week and I think he's an excellent dual threat option for Florida. Florida State has their own issues at QB with backup Rodemaker, but he admittedly has way more experience. I want to be early on Max Brown and this is about as early as I can be. I think the Gators are a live dog here at home.

Pick Made: Nov 25, 11:40 pm UTC on FanDuel
Point SpreadFlorida +6.5 -105
LOSS
Unit1.0
+300
3-0 in Last 3 FSU ATS Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

Battle of the backup QBs here in the Sunshine State Rivalry with more at stake, including FSU staying unbeaten into the ACC title game and two wins from the playoffs, but now doing so minus injured QB Jordan Travis and backup Tate Rodemaker now running the show. backup QB for the Gators, too, as frosh Max Brown (who impressed last week vs. Mizzou) takes the place of the injured Graham Mertz. This is also a game the Gators need to win to secure bowl eligibility, which might be important for Billy Napier to keep his job, and even with Travis, the Noles have rode a lot of lightning to get to 11-0 into this traditional finale. Play Florida

Pick Made: Nov 25, 9:36 am UTC on FanDuel
Over / UnderUnder 49.5 -105
WIN
Unit1.0
+1188
33-20 in Last 53 NCAAF O/U Picks
+500
5-0 in Last 5 FLA O/U Picks
Kenny's Analysis:

This is such an important game for both teams. Florida needs a 6th win to become bowl eligible and undefeated Florida State is playing for a shot at the College Football Playoff. FSU QB Jordan Travis is out, the Seminoles will go with Tate Rodemaker, 93 career passes. Florida starting QB Graham Mertz is out, backup redshirt freshman Max Brown, has 12 career passes.The Seminoles defense has allowed 20 or less in seven straight games.

Pick Made: Nov 25, 7:59 am UTC on FanDuel
Over / UnderUnder 50 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+324
12-8 in Last 20 NCAAF O/U Picks
+90
2-1 in Last 3 FSU O/U Picks
Allan's Analysis:

This game is an absolute mess. FSU enters the first full week after the injury to their heart and soul QB in a game that has meaning in terms of staying in the CFB Playoff hunt but their spot in the ACC title game next week is already solidified. That said though, FSU now HAS to protect their QB at all costs or the dream is over. Expect the 'Noles run game and defense. Florida has a backup QB as well and faces a great defense, so run the football. Long story short, running clock on both sides and a ton of punts from the 50.

Pick Made: Nov 22, 10:37 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Over / UnderUnder 50 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+430
13-8 in Last 21 NCAAF Picks
+270
6-3 in Last 9 NCAAF O/U Picks
+90
2-1 in Last 3 FSU O/U Picks
Barrett's Analysis:

The battle between backup quarterbacks Tate Rodemaker for Florida State and Max Brown for Florida will be ugly. Very ugly. Neither coach will give their new starter much of the offense and rely on the running game. That will lead to slow, plodding drives and a lot of punts. This one will be played in the teens.

Pick Made: Nov 21, 2:27 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey
Point SpreadFlorida State -6.5 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+433
11-6-1 in Last 18 FLA ATS Picks
Mike's Analysis:

Backup quarterbacks are not always created equal. FSU's Tate Rodemaker, filling in for the injured Jordan Travis, is a redshirt junior experienced enough to have played in 2020. He holds an edge on Florida's Max Brown, a redshirt freshman who is replacing the ailing Graham Mertz and has 12 career passes. More so, the Seminoles (11-0) are seeking a berth in the college football playoffs, whereas the Gators (5-6) will find little motivation in striving for a minor bowl. Underdogs in rivalry matchups are worth considering, but the motivation gap is vast here.

Pick Made: Nov 21, 3:04 am UTC on Bet365NewJersey
Over / UnderUnder 51.5 -110
WIN
Unit1.0
+240
8-5 in Last 13 NCAAF O/U Picks
+300
3-0-1 in Last 4 FSU O/U Picks
Mike's Analysis:

Calling backup quarterbacks.Starters Graham Mertz of Florida and Jordan Travis of FSU almost certainly are out after last Saturday's injuries. Max Brown, a redshirt freshman who had hurled seven passes before replacing Mertz at Missouri, stands in for Mertz. Tate Rodemaker, has mopped up regularly this season, given the Seminoles' many blowouts, but must cope with the pressure of keeping his team in CFB playoff contention. The 'Noles rank 24th in defense among FBS teams and should keep the Mertz-less Gators in the teens.

Pick Made: Nov 20, 1:43 am UTC on FanDuel

Team Injuries

Florida State Seminoles
Saturday, Dec 21, 2024
Avatar
DL
Patrick Payton
Transfer Portal
Friday, Dec 20, 2024
Avatar
WR
Deuce Spann
Not Injury Related
Tuesday, Dec 17, 2024
Avatar
WR
Destyn Hill
Not Injury Related
Saturday, Nov 30, 2024
Avatar
TE
Amaree Williams
Undisclosed
Friday, Oct 18, 2024
Avatar
WR
Camdon Frier
Upper Leg
Wednesday, Oct 09, 2024
Avatar
LB
DJ Lundy
Undisclosed
Monday, Sep 09, 2024
Avatar
RB
Jaylin Lucas
Undisclosed
Florida Gators
Friday, Dec 20, 2024
Avatar
RB
Cam Carroll
Leg
Thursday, Dec 19, 2024
Avatar
TE
Arlis Boardingham
Transfer Portal
Thursday, Dec 05, 2024
Avatar
OL
Christian Williams
Transfer Portal
Saturday, Nov 30, 2024
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RB
Treyaun Webb
Lower Leg
Wednesday, Nov 27, 2024
Avatar
DB
Aaron Gates
Undisclosed
Thursday, Nov 21, 2024
Avatar
OL
Roderick Kearney
Undisclosed
Wednesday, Nov 06, 2024
Avatar
DB
Devin Moore
Undisclosed
Tuesday, Nov 05, 2024
Avatar
WR
Eugene Wilson III
Hip
Saturday, Oct 19, 2024
Avatar
DB
Asa Turner
Undisclosed
Monday, Oct 14, 2024
Avatar
QB
Graham Mertz
Knee
Friday, Sep 06, 2024
Avatar
WR
Kahleil Jackson
Knee
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