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Bama backers are subscribing to coach Nick Saban’s remarkable habit of following a loss with a decisive win. The pattern might not be extended here. This is not a vintage Crimson Tide team, and Ole Miss is talented, having taken in 17 transfers who provide experience and poise. The Rebels boast the nation’s No. 3 rushing outfit. They have a history of covering in this series when receiving no more than two touchdowns. Alabama has not covered in six of the last eight away games, three of which have resulted in outright losses.
Coming off an overtime loss to LSU which all but killed their College Football Playoff hopes, Alabama faces another difficult task when it travels to No. 10 Ole Miss. The Rebels have had an extra week to prepare and is at home, so this spread seems pretty high. History is not on Mississippi's side though. Alabama has not lost consecutive regular season games since 2007. Still, I think the Rebels will make it interesting at least.
I'm not sure how anybody can trust Alabama on the road this year, yet here it is as a double-digit favorite against a dangerous Ole Miss team that is playing at home and has had two weeks to prepare for this one. The Ole Miss offense uses tempo, establishes the run and takes the top off of opposing defenses -- a lot like Tennessee does. We all know what happened when the Crimson Tide and Volunteers met up last month. Alabama is 1-3 against the spread on the road and will lose straight up in what is a matchup nightmare for coach Nick Saban. With that said, take the points just in case.
Why on earth is Ole Miss getting 12 points at home off a bye week with Alabama surely flat after seeing its SEC and national title hopes vanish with last week's loss at LSU? Both of Bama's losses are away -- granted on the final play -- and it probably should have lost at Texas early in the year. Nick Saban's team is just too undisciplined this year with a whopping 78 penalties. Happily take the 12. If Lane Kiffin beats his former boss, Auburn will backup the Brink's truck to hire him.