This spread crept up to a full two touchdowns about the time UTSA coach Jeff Traylor bowed out after being stricken with the coronavirus. Though the Ragin’ Cajuns clearly are superior, UTSA did close its season with six consecutive straight-up wins, including blowouts in two of the last three. In recognition of the Roadrunners’ 7-1 Under streak, the total has plunged four points, which suggests moderate scoring. If that’s the case, a two-touchdown spot is substantial. No players on UTSA’s roster have competed in a bowl, so the excitement level for the mega-underdogs should be palpable.

My model says that Louisiana covers almost two-thirds of the time and wins by 23, so you're getting good value with the Ragin' Cajuns at this number. They've had a tremendous season, beating Iowa State to start the season and finishing 9-1 with their only loss coming to Coastal Carolina. Louisiana's offense, which scores 33.9 points a game (second in the Sun Belt), will be too much for a UTSA team that will be playing without head coach Jeff Traylor (COVID-19).

FIRST RESPONDER BOWL -- The Under has hit seven out of 10 times for both of these teams. The Ragin' Cajuns are giving up just 4.76 yards per play and the Roadrunners haven't given more than 401 yards in any of their last six games. Billy Napier's Cajuns crew might be excited because their coach re-committed to the program, but not enough to make this a shootout.