We've never thought UConn was up for a three-peat this season ever since the Maui Invitational, when it became apparent this wasn't the same team without Donovan Clingan (now NBA Blazers) clogging the middle. Hurley eventually got his team on course but ten losses and an exit in the Big East Tourney via Creighton reiterated our position. Meanwhile, Florida doesn't have to worry about a rim protector like Clingan this March and spent the season dominating a much tougher loop (SEC) than the Big East, which UConn didn't dominate. This Hurley edition doesn't have the firepower to compete with Walter Clayton, Jr (17.7 ppg), Alijah Martin (14.5 ppg), Will Richard (13.4 ppg) and others in the Gators' 85.4 ppg offense. Play Florida (NCAA at Raleigh)

UConn is the only Big East team still standing. But these aren't close to the Huskies of the past two seasons -- Florida could be on that level, however. After giving up an 11-0 Norfolk State run in its Round of 64 blowout win, the Gators will be extremely focused for this one. They're too deep, too talented and too well-coached for this version of UConn. Oklahoma missed 15 layups against UConn on Friday, and I don't think the Gators will be so sloppy. Look for Florida to improve to 13-2 ATS in its last 15 games.

Gators covered 12 of last 14, letting up vs Norfolk State late and slipping up at UGA. They get up for all the big ones and covered 11 of those 12 games by multiple possessions. This is a flawed Huskies team that got by on reputation and Vegas favored them too much - they are 4-6 ATS vs the last 10 NCAA tourney teams they have faced. Huskies don't lose by double digits that often but this Florida team is special. Twelve of their last 15 wins are by 10+ and two were by 9. Trend has been favorites covering fairly easy. Florida is too balanced. UCONN (13-17-1 ATS) vulnerble defensively; they will need to pick up pace big time here and that's not them.