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Track OnCBS Sports
North Carolina
Tar Heels
UNC
Last 5 ATS
W/L22-14
ATS16-21
O/U18-18-1
FINAL SCORE
64
-
71
Ole Miss
Rebels
MISS
Last 5 ATS
W/L22-12
ATS19-16
O/U18-18-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
22-14
Win /Loss
22-12
16-21
Spread
19-16
18-18-1
Over / Under
18-18-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
UNC @ MISS
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MONEYLINE
UNC @ MISS
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OVER / UNDER
UNC @ MISS
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72%
PUBLIC
28%
MONEY
69%
PUBLIC
31%
MONEY
Over63%
PUBLIC
Under37%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Money LineN. Carolina -118
LOSS
Unit1.0
+152
2-1 in Last 3 NCAAB ML Picks
Tim's Analysis:

Should the Heels have been in the tournament? Probably not, but, man, they looked good against San Diego State banging down 14 3-pointers. Ole Miss was only 8-10 in Quad 1 games, and the Rebels don't pass my eyeball test.

Pick Made: Mar 21, 2:39 pm UTC on FanDuel
Money LineN. Carolina -122
LOSS
Unit0.5
+2796
82-41 in Last 123 NCAAB Picks
+2729.5
66-27 in Last 93 NCAAB ML Picks
+285
5-2 in Last 7 MISS ML Picks
Matt's Analysis:

I had UNC to the Sweet 16 from the First Four, as while you can definitely make a case that the Heels shouldn't have gotten into the Dance, they still have a Top 10 roster in the country in terms of talent/upside. And that was on display Tuesday in trashing San Diego State. Not only that, the committee -- chaired by UNC AD Bubba Cunningham -- didn't make Carolina turn around and play Thursday like it should have considering it was in a Tuesday First Four game. It just all seems to be setting up nicely for Hubert Davis' bunch. And a First Four team has won a R64 game every year but one.

Pick Made: Mar 21, 12:32 pm UTC on FanDuel
Point SpreadN. Carolina -1.5 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+327
8-4-1 in Last 13 NCAAB Picks
+222
10-7-1 in Last 18 NCAAB ATS Picks
Chip's Analysis:

Not only will North Carolina bring in the confidence and rhythm from winning big against San Diego State, but the Tar Heels have drawn a matchup that could actually work in their favor. Ole Miss’ defense rates in the top-30 nationally thanks to a rotation filled with experience and a coach in Chris Beard who can put his team in the best position to be disruptive and get stops. However, this is not a particularly big team and not a great rebounding team, both of which are qualities that could present real problems for North Carolina. The Tar Heels are riding a 9-1 mark against the spread in their last 10 games, and their ability to make plays on the perimeter will be the difference.

Pick Made: Mar 20, 6:58 pm UTC on FanDuel
Money LineN. Carolina -120
LOSS
Unit1.0
+116
20-16 in Last 36 NCAAB ML Picks
+80
2-1 in Last 3 MISS ML Picks
Bob's Analysis:

This might be one of the trappiest games of the first round, but North Carolina will be out to prove something. The Tar Heels have momentum coming into this one and have covered nine of their last 10, while Ole Miss has failed to cover eight of its last 10. The Rebels will have the rest advantage which could affect how they start the game. Ole Miss ended the season with a -7 point differential in their last three games as their offense has been up-and-down down the stretch. The Tar Heels just dominated the 15th best defense in the country and will look to do the same against the 23rd ranked defense behind RJ Davis.

Pick Made: Mar 20, 2:40 am UTC on FanDuel

Team Injuries

North Carolina Tar Heels
Wednesday, Apr 23, 2025
Avatar
G
Drake Powell
Pro Draft Prep
Ole Miss Rebels
No Player Injuries

Season Splits

All Games
ALL
All Games
44%
16-20
16-16-1
50%
On Road or Neutral
LOCATION
On Road or Neutral
42%
9-12
10-7
58%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or PK
50%
13-13
8-6
57%
When Spread was -3.5 to +1
SPREAD
When Spread was -1 to +3.5
0%
0-2
4-2
66%
Favored on Road or Neutral
LOCATION & STATUS
As Road Underdog
50%
6-6
7-5
58%
vs Teams That Win >65% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 50-65% of Games
41%
7-10
0-5
0%
vs Teams Allowing 67 to 72 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >72 PPG
36%
4-7
5-6
45%
After <4 Days Off
REST
After 4+ Days Off
35%
6-11
11-10-1
52%
vs MISS
HEAD TO HEAD
vs UNC
0%
0-0
0-0
0%
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