We ride or die with Sparty unders. And we especially love it in this spot with Wisconsin bound to get carried away hoisting too many 3s after a ridiculous display Friday. Lightning don't strike twice. Sparty under in 8 of 9 (none were much of a sweat) and 12 of 15. These teams met two weeks ago and went under by 14 points, with the Badgers barely breaking 60. Izzo's D slipped in first half Friday after long layoff. They won't let John Tonje go off (3/13 from floor vs State) and elite perimeter D held WIS to 5/32 from 3. Sparty's rotation of 4 legit bigs and 10 fresh bodies will be a problem for Badgers, too.

Michigan State was the Big Ten regular season champion at 27-5 and they covered 22 of those spreads including their last eight games. Yes their on a 8-0 straight up and ATS run. They're hot and they're looking like a team that has serious Final Four potential. They played Wisconsin March 2nd and Michigan State won 71-62 and that spread was -4.5 at home. Wisconsin has won four of their last seven games. Michigan State won four games on the road during the streak and they’re 8-2 on the road this year. Michigan State to cover.