Let's see if we can start the day with a morning winner from Fort Myers in MAC vs. MAAC (not Aflac) action. KenPom ranks Miami (Ohio) at 209 and Siena at 299. Our model has the Redhawks by nine, ESPN BPI has them by 10 and Massey by five. UM's Kam Craft ranks fourth in the MAC at 17.5 points per game and has knocked down 3.50 threes per game (second in MAC). Eian Elmer is 10th in the MAC in scoring (14.8), ninth in blocked shots per game (1.00) and fifth in steals per game (2.00). Siena had just four wins last year and was picked to finish near the bottom of the MAAC again.

I think this opener is low for a neutral court game. I make Miami -6 here. The RedHawks have a couple of big edges in this matchup. Miami shoots a lot of threes, ranking 12th in three-point scoring rate. Siena's biggest issue defensively early in the season has been guarding the perimeter where the Saints rank 354th in three-point field goal percentage defense. The RedHawks should also create a lot of turnovers and dominant the offensive glass. Siena has covered nine of its last 10 games but I give Miami the advantage in Monday's early tip-off. I'm grabbing -3 because I think the lines moves higher.