MAC Tournament on Thursday morning from Cleveland. I was waiting for the moneyline to be posted on this game except it wasn't before the spread rose (Thomas Casale got it at 4 but that's not coming back) so I probably lost 30 cents. Still have to take it as Toledo was the MAC regular-season champion and stomped Kent State twice. This likely only keeps rising.

I'm not 100% sure where this line will go but I'm grabbing Toledo on the opener of -4. I make the Rockets -6 on a neutral court. Toledo beat Kent St twice this season by 15 and 16 points. That doesn't mean the Rockets will win a third time but Toledo has some significant matchup advantages. The Rockets score 76% of their points in conference play from free throws and two-point baskets. Kent St ranks 10th in the MAC in both opponent's free throw attempts and two-point FG% defense. This isn't the same Kent St team as in year's past. I'll back the Rockets at a short number to get the season sweep.