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My bracket is busted as I'm sure like many are with Gonzaga out, so now I hope Saint Peter's wins it all. Obviously not going to happen and they aren't winning tonight, but certainly think they can hang by 10 or so. I'm a Sparty fan so I watch the Big Ten fairly frequently, and Purdue tends to play to its level of competition. And no disrespect to Saint Peter's, but it's a step down in competition from, say, Texas, which the Boilers beat last week.
This line is moving, I see 13 at some books but 12.5 is still out there. So let's lock this in. This has the chance to be a real slaughter, 12.5 is just past four possessions and Purdue could probably do that at half time. I know that Saint Peters looks like a team that can cover this line, but they're simply due to regress and you're getting value on a team that was atop the AP rankings at a point this year. Ivey, Edey, Williams... these guys are not messing around. They're not getting taken by surprise like Kentucky which only had a 2% chance to lose their game based on shots taken, anyway. To even be playing in the second weekend is a big deal to St. Peters, while for Purdue this is just business. I'll happily take the business end over a team that's covered 9 straight.
The Peacocks are the feel good story of the tournament, but they are also a very well coached team. This shows in how great they have been defensively. The Peacocks are 9-0 SU and ATS in their last nine games. The Boilermakers are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games. This matchup is lopsided, but the Peacocks are ready to put up another fight. They will keep this game closer than this spread.
Saint Peter's has won and covered its last nine games and has had a few days to reflect on what it has done to reach the Sweet 16. Purdue has a huge size advantage, but so did Kentucky in the first round. Purdue coach Matt Painter seems to lose tragically often in the NCAA Tournament; pressure he feels. I see a lot of standing around cautiously and the clock running. I'm on the Under.