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The total continues to drop. Both defenses are allowing over 400 total yards in their home/road splits. On the road, Fresno State is allowing opponents to score 36.7 points, on average, while the Wolfpack defense is allowing 33 points over their last three games. Fresno State should have success against a struggling Wolfpack secondary, who allowed over 600 total yards of offense to the Oregon State last week, and still won.
This looks a potential edge tonight in Reno, as the team with more momentum (Nevada) is the one getting points. New Wolf Pack HC Jeff Choate is quietly doing a superb job restoring order in Reno, as various portal adds, including last year's prize ex-Colorado QB Brendon Lewis, have emerged as dangerous playmakers. To wit: Lewis and ex-Texas RB Savion Red combined for 288 YR last week in the win vs. Oregon State. Meanwhile, this is getting dangerous for Fresno interim HC Tim Skipper, as each subsequent defeat (including a recent heavy 59-14 beating at the hands of UNLV) makes his future with the Bulldogs more uncertain, as Fresno staff and players begin to contemplate a potential regime change after the season completes. Play Nevada
This aligns as both a potential get-right spot and a swing game for Fresno State's bowl hopes following a two-game skid that including a drubbing at upstart UNLV and a 25-17 loss to Washington State last week. The Bulldogs held the high-powered Cougars to just 295 total yards but were felled by a late pick-6. Meanwhile, Nevada got its first home win against an FBS opponent in nearly a year but had to survive a wild final sequence against Oregon State in the 42-37 win. It will be difficult to make it 2 straight against what should be a motivated Fresno State club.