The knock against the Eagles at this point in the season has been their run defense, but adding Ndamukong Suh and Linval Joseph should help against Aaron Jones and the Packers. While news of Aaron Rodgers' injured thumb broke this week, he's been playing with it for a while, so it does not change the evaluation of Green Bay in this game. This should serve as a get-right opportunity for Philadelphia with Jalen Hurts and Miles Sanders finding more room on the ground than they've gotten recently. The Eagles ball-hawking secondary should be able to turn Rodgers over in key junctures or at least limit Allen Lazard and the emerging Christian Watson. With the line more likely to jump to -7 then fall to -6, it's worth getting in now. But this would be a pick at all three numbers.

This number has dropped below 7 and now there's value on Philly. Since injuring his thumb on the last play of the London game in Week 5, Aaron Rodgers has led the Packers to a 1-5 record while ranking 27th in EPA per dropback. Green Bay averaged a measly 4.6 yards per play in losing at home to Tennessee in Week 11. Unlike the Packers, the Eagles are fully healthy. They should take out some offensive frustrations from the previous two weeks and win by at least a touchdown.

The Eagles have been getting beat up for their run defense since Jordan Davis' injury, but they allowed 3.1 and 3.8 yards per rush the last two games, with the latter coming against Jonathan Taylor. The Packers couldn't run the ball at all against the Titans, so I'm not just chalking them up for a dominant game on the ground. The Packers averaged just 4.6 yards per play last Thursday against a banged-up Titans defense, and I could see similar struggles on the road here. The Eagles offense is coming off down games against two tough defenses, but the Packers were just lit up through the air by Ryan Tannehill. I would make the Eagles -6.5 against an average team on a neutral, so this line is light.