Sportsline

Will Tampa Bay and Toronto continue to play high scoring games in Canada?

Jose Soriano has stayed under this line in 11 of his last 15 starts. …

The Reds are in a Coors Field hangover spot. ...

Arizona swept the Dodgers just before the All-Star break...

The Athletics have lost 11 of 12. ...

The Cubs have lost five of Taillon's last six starts...

Should Valter Walker be a bigger favorite? ...

Colorado has won four of the last five meetings against the Nationals. However, they've lost two of their last three meetings when Washington play in the Rockies. The Nationals send out Andrew Alvarez tonight, owning a 2.49 road ERA and should get some production out of an offense who’s one the best offense against left-handed pitching. This is also a fade of Kyle Freeland, who owns a 7.36 ERA, and has given up 18 earned runs over his last 22 innings.

Washington is +925 in the profit margin and averages 10.75 runs per game while being 50-50, two games out of a wild-card slot. Best yet for tonight at Colorado, they are 30-19 on the road. The Rockies are 40-61 on the season, but they average 10.48 runs a game. The wind is swirling around Coors Field, but throughout the game tonight it'll be blowing out to left field and out to right field at 8 mph. Both starting pitchers should help this game get started on an over pace. Over is the play.

All of our books other than BetRivers have this at 4.5 and as you can see a bit juiced here -- but 5.5 F5 in a game with full total of 8.5 is always something I'll be interested in. No crazy weather tonight at Fenway. Both Baltimore's Shane Baz and Boston's Payton Tolle pitched great against the opponent at Fenway back in early May. Baz gets the fifth-worst run support of any qualified MLB starter this season.

I still might fade the Dodgers in Game 2 of today/tonight's doubleheader at Yankee Stadium but waiting to see how Game 1 finishes first. Regardless, L.A. will be in a horrible double-whammy spot Monday off a doubleheader AND the Sunday night game with travel. And it's Phils ace Cristopher Sanchez, who is 7-1 with a 0.86 ERA at home. Philly is getting pounded at home as we speak by the other New York team, but that's just fine because it means no high-leverage relievers will be used (barring a comeback).

Caesar’s. Dylan Cease has been absolutely dominant on the strikeout front at home this season. The first-year Blue Jay has taken to his new abode well, punching out 81 batters in 51 innings this season at the Rogers Centre, clearing this line in eight of nine starts. This includes a nine-K outing against the Rays. Tampa, despite being stingy with K’s, have been more susceptible on the road. Take the AL Cy Young hopeful to punch out eight at plus odds.

Tampa Bay...we have a problem. That was an embarrassing weekend sweep for the team at the top of the American League East at the hands of the Red Sox. Now the Rays have to go against All-Star starter Dylan Cease and the underachieving Blue Jays. Fortunately for Tampa Bay, starter Nick Martinez was also an All-Star and is 8-2 with a 2.65 ERA on the season. His ERA is actually a run lower on the road than at home. Plus the Rays are 5-1 against their division rivals thus far this season. Give me Tampa Bay at plus-money on Monday.

Braxton Ashcraft regressing a bit lately and the Pirates on the road has given us a great price on a struggling Yankees lineup. Yes, Ashcraft has given up some runs in 2 of his last 3 starts, but he's been steady all season and he gets the stagnant Yankees bats. The Pirates have been scoring runs and they get Ryan Weathers who hasn't been great and who should give up a few in the First Five.

This looks like a good spot to fade Ryan Weathers who has been inconsistent from the mound this season. He’ll face a Pirates lineup that has been exceptional both in the short term and over the duration of the entire season. Pittsburgh’s lineup ranks 2nd in Weighted On Base Average both on the year and over the last 30 days. Meanwhile Weathers has failed to eclipse this number in his last three outings.

Current Guardians are batting .185 with a .517 OPS in 92 career at-bats against Twins starter Joe Ryan. He comes off an All-Star appearance in which he fanned two in one scoreless inning. Ryan's strikeout rate has increased lately, another good sign. The Guardians counter with Tanner Bibee, who sports a 4.82 FIP. Outfielder Byron Buxton (hip) is back from the injured list. Look for Minnesota to improve to 5-2 vs. Cleveland this season.

FanDuel. Logan Gilbert has pretty significant home/road strikeout splits, with just a 24.5% punch-out percentage on the road, compared to 28% at home - similar to what we’ve seen in seasons prior from the Mariners righty. Gilbert will face a Giants lineup that has been strikeout averse all season (20.1% against righties), but features six above average targets in the lineup today. Gilbert has cleared this line in 7/11 home starts, including each of his last four.

This looks like a good spot to back Robbie Ray who will be returning to Seattle to pitch in what shapes up to be an excellent matchup. Ray has been largely effective this season and will face a Mariners lineup that possesses the lowest weighted on base average in the majors over the last 30 days. Couple that with a very pitcher friendly park, I like Rays chances of getting in at least 6 innings today.

Robbie Ray is 5-0 with a 1.84 ERA over his past seven starts. He faces a Mariners lineup with a home OPS of .422 the last two weeks. The Giants are the No. 2-hitting team on Sundays this season and its road OPS in July is .806. Logan Gilbert is good, but the Mariners starter has allowed four runs in two of his last three starts, and his home ERA is nearly two runs higher than his road split. The Giants have won four of six, with the two losses each by a single run.

Casey Mize has a 2.79 ERA, the bullpen behind him as a 1.30 ERA since the Fourth. The Angels have lost 12 of 14 and have scored three runs or fewer in 10 of those games. This feels like another low-scoring output is coming. Meanwhile, The Tigers have won eight of 10; the two defeats, they were held to 2 and 0 runs vs. Cristopher Sanchez and Zack Wheeler. Angels starter Ryan Johnson isn’t Sanchez or Wheeler. He has a 6.75 ERA on the season, and the Angels’ bullpen is scuttling.

The surging Tigers have a realistic shot at a Wild Card, and they're not out of the division race either. They'll look to keep beating up on the lowly Angels behind consistent starter Casey Mize. He has a 1.00 WHIP and has given up two or fewer earned runs in 10 of 14 starts. The Angels counter with 23-year-old Ryan Johnson, who has served up nine homers in 33.1 innings. The team is 1-8 when Johnson starts.

The Nationals crushed on Friday night but I stayed off them yesterday against the righty JT Ginn. Back against a left hander today and in a great ballpark for hitting, I'm taking the Nats to score a bunch of runs and win this one by at least a couple. Foster Griffin has also been incredible for a Nats starting rotation that desperately needed him, pitching to a 2.77 ERA in 19 starts thus far. On the other side, lefty Jacob Lopez faces off with MLB's top offense vs. lefties, as he brings an ERA near seven into this hitter's haven of a ballpark. Nats get back on track here after a terrible loss last night.