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Tue, Apr 2211:30 pm UTCScotiabank Arena
Track OnCBS Sports
Ottawa
Senators
OTT
Last 5 ML
W/L47-41
ATS36-52
O/U38-41-9
FINAL SCORE
2
-
3
Toronto
Maple Leafs
TOR
Last 5 ML
W/L59-36
ATS49-46
O/U46-46-3
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ML
47-41
Win /Loss
59-36
36-52
Spread
49-46
38-41-9
Over / Under
46-46-3
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
OTT @ TOR
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MONEYLINE
OTT @ TOR
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OVER / UNDER
OTT @ TOR
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39%
PUBLIC
61%
MONEY
11%
PUBLIC
89%
MONEY
Over91%
PUBLIC
Under9%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Money LineToronto -164
WIN
Unit0.5
+3964.5
146-71-8 in Last 225 NHL Sides Picks
+1979
93-51 in Last 144 NHL ML Picks
+635.5
9-2 in Last 11 OTT ML Picks
Matt's Analysis:

This has come a fair amount down. I expect Ottawa to play much better in Game 2 as few players had any postseason experience in Game 1. But the Sens also are under .500 away and the Leafs 28-13-1 at home. If Anthony Stolarz plays like he did in the opener, the Toronto Cup drought very well may end. He had a 1.86 GAA at home during the RS. I probably play -1 during the RS, but so many one-goal postseason games.

Pick Made: Apr 22, 10:41 pm UTC on Caesars
Point SpreadToronto -1.5 +158
LOSS
Unit1.0
+606
21-16 in Last 37 NHL Picks
+338
4-2 in Last 6 NHL ATS Picks
+362
8-6 in Last 14 TOR ATS Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

Since 1967 is a long time to wait for a title...is this the year (finally) for the Leafs? Maybe. Consider Sunday's 6-2 romp past the Sens as a warning shot for the rest of the NHL. Ottawa entered Scotiabank Arena in good form but was quickly back on its heels as Toronto jumped on Linus Ullmark early with Oliver-Eckman Larsson scoring just seven minutes into the first period and Mitch Marner doubling the lead shortly thereafter. More ominous for Ottawa was 38 penalty minutes and the Toronto power play which scored three times, while Anthony Stolarz looked quite comfy for the Leafs in his second-ever playoff game, stopping 31 of 33 shots. Play Maple Leafs on Puck Line

Pick Made: Apr 22, 7:08 pm UTC on Caesars

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Best prop picks are generated from a combination of Sportsline's projection, analysis of the opposing team, and the bets value based on the current odds.

Team Injuries

Ottawa Senators
Saturday, May 03, 2025
Avatar
D
Nick Jensen
UndisclosedOut
Avatar
LW
Brady Tkachuk
HipOut
Friday, May 02, 2025
Avatar
RW
Hayden Hodgson
Lower BodyOut
Toronto Maple Leafs
Saturday, May 03, 2025
Avatar
D
Jani Hakanpaa
KneeIr

Season Splits

All Games
ALL
All Games
54%
45-38, +54
53-30, +1117
63%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
42%
18-24, -601
28-14, +416
66%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
47%
17-19, +120
37-21, +119
63%
When Line was +124 to +154
MONEY LINE
When Line was -180 to -150
20%
2-8, -536
7-3, +134
70%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
42%
11-15, -173
23-11, +178
67%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 45-55% of Games
53%
16-14, +250
17-7, +461
70%
vs Teams Allowing 2.6 to 2.9 GPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 2.6 to 2.9 GPG
52%
9-8, +22
10-11, +29
47%
After a Day Off
REST
After a Day Off
53%
37-32, -161
43-24, +753
64%
vs TOR
HEAD TO HEAD
vs OTT
75%
3-1, +205
1-3, -244
25%
when Linus Ullmark starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Anthony Stolarz starts
56%
25-19, +24
23-11, +623
67%
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