Seth Jarvis has been performing well in his last ten games, averaging 4.1 shots on goal with an 80% success rate on the over. At home this season, he has averaged 3.16 shots on goal, exceeding this mark 68.42% of the time. This represents a significant improvement compared to his overall season average of 2.82 shots per game. The Maple Leafs are missing key defensemen Oliver Ekman-Larsson and Jake McCabe, which could open up more shooting lanes for Jarvis. Additionally, Toronto has allowed an average of 29.1 shots on goal per game over their last 10 contests. Carolina aims to set a franchise record for home victories, keeping them motivated.