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Thu, Apr 0411:00 pm UTCBell Centre
Track OnCBS Sports
Tampa Bay
Lightning
TB
Last 5 ML
W/L45-37
ATS42-40
O/U39-37-6
FINAL SCORE
7
-
4
Montreal
Canadiens
MON
Last 5 ML
W/L30-52
ATS53-29
O/U42-38-2
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ML
45-37
Win /Loss
30-52
42-40
Spread
53-29
39-37-6
Over / Under
42-38-2
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
TB @ MON
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MONEYLINE
TB @ MON
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OVER / UNDER
TB @ MON
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9%
PUBLIC
91%
MONEY
71%
PUBLIC
29%
MONEY
Over78%
PUBLIC
Under22%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Point SpreadMontreal +1.5 -178
LOSS
Unit0.5
+1457.5
48-24 in Last 72 NHL ATS Picks
+450
5-0 in Last 5 TB ATS Picks
Matt's Analysis:

I believe Montreal has the better goalie tonight in Cayden Primeau over Tampa Bay's third-string Matt Tomkins, who is only in the NHL/starting because it's the second of a back-to-back for the Bolts and usual No. 2 Jonas Johansson is hurt. Obviously the Lightning are still better everywhere else, but it sure feels like a letdown spot off a playoff-type game Wednesday in Toronto. I truly thought about Habs +130 outright, but I can't turn down a 1.5-goal lead at home. You could play this with Habs TT over 2.5 and get a nice price.

Pick Made: Apr 04, 7:34 pm UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey

Team Injuries

Tampa Bay Lightning
No Player Injuries
Montreal Canadiens
Sunday, Mar 02, 2025
Avatar
C
Kirby Dach
KneeIr

Season Splits

All Games
ALL
All Games
56%
42-33, +135
29-45, -452
39%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
50%
19-19, -167
15-22, -401
40%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or Even
63%
28-16, +214
23-44, -835
34%
When Line was -170 to -140
MONEY LINE
When Line was +116 to +146
58%
7-5, -35
6-11, -300
35%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
61%
11-7, +54
10-21, -716
32%
vs Teams That Win <45% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
66%
16-8, +229
9-19, -131
32%
vs Teams Allowing >2.9 GPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >2.9 GPG
56%
29-22, +1
24-22, +1094
52%
in 2nd Game of Back-to-Back
REST
After a Day Off
44%
4-5, -210
28-35, +452
44%
vs MON
HEAD TO HEAD
vs TB
100%
3-0, +164
0-3, -300
0%
when Matt Tomkins starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Cayden Primeau starts
33%
1-2, -124
8-9, +13
47%
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