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Dallas is averaging 3.8 goals per game on the road over the past month and a half, and New York is averaging 3.3 goals at home in the same stretch. We prefer trusting the offenses here to continue that scoring pace, as neither goalie tonight is seeming too menacing. Scott Wedgewood is in net for Dallas, and he has allowed 3+ goals in five of his last seven games and three of four meetings with New York. Then there's Igor Shesterkin, who has been struggling, allowing 3+ goals in four of his last five starts. Three of the past four meetings between these teams have gone over, with all three such games seeing 9+ goals.
You don't want to fade the Stars too often because they are excellent but also used No. 1 goalie Jake Oettinger today in Boston -- Jake, you couldn't hold a 3-2 lead in the final two minutes to cash our Under?!?! -- and played without two key injured guys in forward Matt Duchene (55 points) and defenseman Miro Heiskanen (33 points). Obviously a pretty good chance they won't play about 24 hours later, either.