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The conditions in Baltimore are expected to lead to a low-scoring game with the total currently at 34.5, and there figures to be little done through the air, with the passing yards props for both QBs in the mid-100s and juiced to the Unders. Desmond Ridder threw for just 97 yards indoors in last week's debut, with Drake London dominating the looks. Zaccheaus had no catches on three targets in that game, making it the third time in his last four he didn't reach 15 yards, and he's been under 20 yards in five of his last seven despite playing 70% of the snaps or more in each game with Atlanta playing from behind in many of those matchups.
Dobbins is coming off of his best stretch of the season with back to back 100 yard rushing performances. He's also handled 28 rushing attempts over the previous two weeks and was removed from the injury report heading into week 16. He certainly appears to be close to full health after returning from an ACL injury. Baltimore will face a Falcons run defense that is 28th in EPA allowed per rush that has surrendered the eighth-most yards to opposing RBs this season. I like Dobbins to have another big game and expected this line to open in the low 60s, so we are getting some nice value. Would play up to 59.5.