Simulation Picks
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Understanding Public and Money
Expert Picks
I would rather lay -120 on the money line here than risk a 1-point win with the line sitting at 1.5. Washington should get a huge boost with the return of Curtis Samuel, taking some pressure off Terry McLaurin. And I expect a bounceback from Taylor Heinecke in his homecoming to Atlanta. The Falcons would be 0-3 if the Giants had caught an easy Matt Ryan interception in the end zone last week. Look for Washington's pass rush to make the difference against an immobile Ryan.
Washington's offense did not play well at all against the Bills, and the 73-yard screen pass to Antonio Gibson covers up just how bad they were on their other 49 plays. You typically want to fade bad teams like the Falcons coming off wins, but would this line look any different if they lost 17-14 instead of winning by that margin? Both of these teams look pretty bad right now, but bad teams should definitely not be favored on the road against anyone (hello, Week 1 Jaguars). The best value here is probably to play the Falcons on the moneyline and consider teasing them up through 3 and 7, so pick your poison when attacking this game.