We played this same prop on Detroit's Isaiah Stewart on Friday against Atlanta starting for the injured Jalen Duren and thought he might top it in rebounds by himself -- it was set at 9.5 then -- and he did with 11 boards and three helpers. Duren isn't expected today, either. Stewart has topped this number in three straight and two of those were as a reserve.

The Rockets are a top-shelf defensive team and Houston's +4.1 point differential points to a much better team than Detroit at -2.6, even if both teams have been nearly identical ATS (Rockets 5-4, Pistons 5-5). Yes, the Pistons are coming off an emotional win vs. Atlanta on a Cade Cunningham game-winner; all the more reason for a little letdown. Houston covers here.