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Sun, Nov 031:30 am UTCMexico City Arena
Track OnCBS Sports
Miami
Heat
MIA
Last 5 ATS
W/L35-43
ATS35-42
O/U39-37-0
FINAL SCORE
118
-
98
Washington
Wizards
WAS
Last 5 ATS
W/L17-60
ATS33-44
O/U38-36-1
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
35-43
Win /Loss
17-60
35-42
Spread
33-44
39-37-0
Over / Under
38-36-1
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
MIA @ WAS
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MONEYLINE
MIA @ WAS
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OVER / UNDER
MIA @ WAS
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33%
PUBLIC
67%
MONEY
91%
PUBLIC
9%
MONEY
Over94%
PUBLIC
Under6%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Point SpreadWashington +9.5 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1648
77-55-1 in Last 133 NBA Picks
+934
28-17 in Last 45 NBA ATS Picks
+665
10-3-1 in Last 14 MIA ATS Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

The Wizards might be improving, with lots of contributors, including Kyle Kuzma scoring 25 in the win at Atlanta and Bilal Coulibaly scoring a career-high 27 in the return match win over Atlanta at Cap One. Jordan Poole is also scoring at a nice 22.5 ppg clip. Most around the league believe that Kuzma and Jonas Valanciunas, in particular, might be trade bait at the deadline, but as long as they remain in D.C., the Wiz can trade points on many nights. Also no shame in Washington's earlier losses to high-flying Cleveland and Boston. Meanwhile, Miami continues to look a low-variance team, with both Heat wins recorded by 8 points (vs. lesser Charlotte and Detroit). Play Wizards

Pick Made: Nov 02, 5:02 pm UTC on BetMGM
Avatar
Total PointsBilal Coulibaly Over 14.5 Total Points -111
WIN
Unit1.0
+75
3-2 in Last 5 NBA Player Props Picks
Jason's Analysis:

This kid has major breakthrough potential, taking his game to another level, maybe from hanging out on the French Olympic team (he barely played but practiced a ton). He is showing more confidence driving to the goal and beating people off the dribble and his stud defense is carrying over to the offensive side. He'll be up for this game in Mexico City and has scored 17+ in 3 in a row, including against a stout Cavs D. Starting to get to the line more, too, which is where I think we'll pick up a bunch of points as season goes on. Improved perimeter shooting opening up more driving potential. Heat are not a clampdown defensive team anymore.

Pick Made: Nov 02, 4:30 pm UTC on BetRivers
Money LineWashington +310
LOSS
Unit0.5
+1463.5
57-38 in Last 95 NBA Picks
+69.5
3-2 in Last 5 NBA ML Picks
Jason's Analysis:

This is a real contrast of styles and if the Wizards can get off to a hot start and play with the kind of energy they have been, I don't think the Heat can keep up. Miami looks off to me, and not all that engaged and this is an easy team to look past. But Wiz play at breakneck pace and Miami's shooting is off and they want to walk the ball up the court. Does Jimmy Butler want to be there? Wiz are kinda dangerous right now, with a super young starting five that has been getting better each night.

Pick Made: Nov 02, 3:06 am UTC on BetMGM
Point SpreadWashington +9 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1463.5
57-38 in Last 95 NBA Picks
+839
68-54 in Last 122 NBA ATS Picks
+658
11-4 in Last 15 MIA ATS Picks
Jason's Analysis:

This is too many points for a suspect Heat team, on the road, against the Wiz, who have been a pleasant surprise offensively and defensively. Bilal Coulibaly looks like a breakout star, the Wiz protect the basketball better than I thought they would and their young legs have been an asset so for. Heat have been disjointed and we've done well fading them. Miami 1-3 ATS. Wiz have scored 116+ in 3 in a row. Heat have 5th worst shooting % in NBA. I think Wiz - again top 2 in pace - can make this a track meet, and if they do I'm not sure Heat can keep up (2nd slowest pace). Heat's energy just seems off. Wizards feeding off being underdogs.

Pick Made: Nov 02, 3:02 am UTC on Caesars

Best Prop Picks

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Best prop picks are generated from a combination of Sportsline's projection, analysis of the opposing team, and the bets value based on the current odds.

Team Injuries

Miami Heat
Tuesday, Dec 24, 2024
Avatar
SG
Dru Smith
AchillesOfs
Saturday, Apr 05, 2025
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PG
Tyler Herro
ThighOut
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PG
Isaiah Stevens
FootOut
Friday, Apr 04, 2025
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PF
Kevin Love
PersonalOut
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SF
Andrew Wiggins
HamstringOut
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PF
Nikola Jovic
HandOut
Washington Wizards
Saturday, Apr 05, 2025
Avatar
PG
Malcolm Brogdon
AnkleOut
Avatar
SF
Khris Middleton
KneeOut
Avatar
SF
Saddiq Bey
KneeOut
Avatar
PF
Tristan Vukcevic
KneeQuestionable
Avatar
SF
Kyshawn George
AnkleOut
Friday, Apr 04, 2025
Avatar
C
Richaun Holmes
ShoulderQuestionable
Thursday, Mar 20, 2025
Avatar
SF
Bilal Coulibaly
HamstringOut
Tuesday, Mar 18, 2025
Avatar
SG
Corey Kispert
ThumbOfs

Season Splits

All Games
ALL
All Games
25%
1-3
2-2
50%
On Road or Neutral
LOCATION
On Road or Neutral
100%
1-0
1-0
100%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or PK
33%
1-2
2-2
50%
When Spread was -11 to -8
SPREAD
When Spread was +8 to +11
0%
0-1
0-1
0%
Favored on Road or Neutral
LOCATION & STATUS
As Road Underdog
100%
1-0
1-0
100%
vs Teams That Win <45% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 45-55% of Games
50%
1-1
0-0
0%
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
25%
1-3
2-2
50%
After a Day Off
REST
After a Day Off
25%
1-3
2-2
50%
vs WAS
HEAD TO HEAD
vs MIA
0%
0-0
0-0
0%
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