Everything I thought about this series was wrong, and I'm looking to cash differently now. KD is not the defensive length monster he was vs MIN regular season, Wolves have adjusted and Suns lack of any inside presence other than Nurkic is a major problem, as is Grayson Allen's injury and KAT rounding back to form. KD had 6 games in reg season where he was +21or better and 3 were against MIN (+79 in total). He's -44 after 2 games! ANT was 13/33 from floor in those 3 reg season games and couldnt get shot off; he's 17/36 thru 2 games and +34. Wolves bench been way better and switch to a road venue doesn't scare me as much with how well they defend.

Jaden McDaniels is critical in this matchup because he guards Kevin Durant and, at times, Devin Booker. McDaniels leads Minnesota with 39.5 minutes per game in the series. Thanks to another two days off between games, McDaniels should have no trouble playing another 40 or so minutes. Look for McDaniels, who's averaging 8.5 rebounds plus assists in the series, to clear this prop total for the third straight game.