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It feels like the Suns are making a push. Blew out Cleveland last time out, and getting big 3 to gel. Meanwhile Minn seems gassed.
Just finished hosting Sportsline (6-7est) and in discussing this game it seems like fading Edwards is the right play. He seems a bit gassed and the low total seems like a good spot to play him under. The number was 38.5 but I’ll still roll at 37.5
Two reasons to fade 1. KD is starting to warm up. Means less points for Booker. 2. Min is tops at limiting guards in pints and assists Thus with such a low total we should limbo lower.
Anthony Edwards does not look 100%. Edwards has failed to clear 50% shooting from the field in seven consecutive games and has only eclipsed 25 points once, while failing to score 30 points over that sample. I am speculating regarding Edwards playing hurt but having watched him all season, something looks off with the young superstar. This is a big line in what should be a competitive game between two playoff teams featuring plenty of star power, however I view Edwards as a fade until he proves hes over whatever is ailing him or breaks out of the shooting slump hes been in.
Devin Booker has been on fire in his previous two outings having scored a combined 92 points. Booker will have his hands full against a Minnesota defense that is the NBA's best in nearly every defensive metric/category. The Timberwolves have been exceptional against opposing SGs surrendering the fewest points, second fewest assists, and the fewest PRA to the position this season. I expect the Timberwolves to limit Booker and prevent him from having another monster game.
This is a tiny scoring line for Rudy Gobert who averages 13.7 PPG on the season. Gobert has been excellent on both ends of the court this season and is on his way to winning another DPOY award. Rudy has scored in double figures in six consecutive games and will face a Suns team that could push the Timberwolves. Gobert has had tremendous individual historical success going against Phoenix Center Jusuf Nurkic. Considering we're getting a discount here, I like Gobert's chances to score 13+ points.