Simulation Picks
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks
Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks
Understanding Public and Money
Expert Picks
Tre Mann has found new opportunities as a starting PG. He's averaging two threes in his six games in this position. His over is 4-1 in his last 5 games including 2 in blowout losses at Milwaukee. Charlotte's 3-point shooting was so bad in their last two games against the Bucks, that they are due to shoot at least okay (better than 24% and 28%).
Charlotte has definitely made some significant progress defensively, but this remains a brutal match-up for them, as evidenced Tues, when the Bucks cruised to 123 points. They scored 120 and 130 in the other meetings. Maybe MIL lightens the load for a starter or two - which scares me about this line - but The Greak Freak has scored a modest 24, 15 and 16 in their three blowout wins over CHA and the bench has been stellar. This total still feels too low to me and I think the Hornets (89 PPG vs MIL this season) pushes their total into the 105 range and the Bucks are around 120 again.
Dame is not shy about the three-ball as we all know. And he's hitting 41% of them over three games against Charlotte and just went 4/9 against them the other night. He's attempted at least 8 in all three games against them - all massive blowouts decided by 31 or more points - and if this game is a little closer for a little longer he might really go off. He's averaging 2.8/G this month. I think he goes off Thursday.
Scoring has come really easy for the Bucks at the Hornets, because CHA can't play D. The Greak Freak is questionable and there might be some load management here, but Dame is a go and he'll be looking to score. He just hit 39 PRA Tues vs CHA and he has 38 and 37 in the previous meetings despite not playing over 29 mins in those blowouts. He's shooting over 52% from field vs CHA and 41% from three land. If other starters sit could do much more than score.