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We're headed right back to the well. Ausar Thompson got in foul trouble early on Saturday and didn't see many minutes, allowing this line to stoop down a little. Before Saturday, Thompson was 7-2 to the over. For whatever reason, he also averages more rebounds and assists on the road at 9.2 (17-11 to the over). I like my chances of seeing Thompson get more minutes tonight and more opportunity on the boards.
The Pistons have wasted no time throwing Simone Fontecchio into a prominent role. He logged 32 minutes off the bench in his first game with the team and has started each of the four games since. In his five total games with the team, he scored at least 14 points four times. That included him scoring 17 points in a tough matchup against the Magic on Saturday. The Knicks also have a good defense, but Fontecchio has a large enough role that I still like this over.
The Knicks do not have quite the same firepower minus both Julius Randle and OJ Anunoby, with concern now that both will be back in time for the playoffs. In the meantime the rather-pronounced New York "under" trend has continued without them, as the Knicks have been "under" in both games since the All-Star break and now 20-5 that way since New Year's Day. Meanwhile the Pistons have lacked firepower all season and are now "under" five straight and 10-4 their last 14 games. Play Pistons-Knicks "Under"