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It's a pretty good price here for a team playing as well as the Pacers, who just put up another 150 points on Friday vs. the Hawks and take a six-game win streak into Saturday. Not beating chopped liver lately, either, with the Knicks and the Bucks (twice vs Milwaukee!) on the recent victim list, and the Pacers didn't even need much from top scorer Tyrese Haliburton (who had only 10) to explode on ATL last night, hitting almost 64% from the floor. Boston far from unbeatable on the road, where the Celtics have lost seven times, noteworthy when compared to the zero Boston has lost at TD Garden this season. Play Pacers
Earlier in the season I was frequently fading Jrue in this specific combo line when the line was as high as 12.5. The oddsmakers appeared to simply default to Holiday's RA averages from last season when he was obviously playing for the Bucks and his usage rate was higher, and also failing to account for the adjustment of new teammates. Jrue looks more and more comfortable to me and is averaging 11.5 RA over his last seven games, while eclipsing this line in 5 appearances. This is an optimal matchup as the Pacers lead the NBA in possessions per game and as we know, extra possessions creates additional opportunities. We're getting a discounted line in an excellent matchup.