Simulation Picks
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Understanding Public and Money
Expert Picks
No Bradley Beal for the Wizards ... I considered taking Oklahoma City +9 but just don't trust the Thunder on the road. OKC is the lowest-scoring team in the NBA and if you subtract Beal's 24.0 ppg and 6.4 apg from the Wizards, I think this should land Under.
Washington is clearly the better team here, but hardly every blows teams out. Oklahoma City has covered in three of its four games in 2021 and is actually a top-five team ATS overall this year. I'll back Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and company against a Wizards side that consistently falls short of expectations as big-time favorites. Washington is 0-4 ATS when favored by five points or more this year, while the Thunder are 11-7 ATS on the road.