The Heat are No. 2 in both offensive and defensive rating, while the Celtics check in at 21st and 18th respectively. All six of Miami's wins have come by double digits. Boston is playing for the third time in four nights and won't be able to duplicate the defensive success it had last night versus Orlando. Lay the reasonable number.

The Heat look like they are on a mission this season. They are 6-1, with their only loss coming on the road to the Pacers in their second game. At home, they are 3-0 with all three wins coming by at least 15 points. The Celtics will be playing the second game of a back-to-back set and have been underwhelming out the gate, posting a 3-5 record. This will also be their third game in the last four days, two of which will be on the road. Despite this large number, I still like the Heat to cover Thursday.