In each prior playoff series, it has taken the Lakers one wake-up call loss to motivate them back into closing out a series. They took Game 1 losses from the Blazers and Rockets before winning the next four, and have now lost Game 3 for the second consecutive time following their five-game win over the Nuggets in the Western Conference Finals. Jimmy Butler gave an inspiring performance to lead the short-handed Heat to an upset but, even with Bam Adebayo expected to play, look for a refocused Lakers club to assume control of the series.

All-Star Bam Adebayo is a go in Game 4 after missing the past two, and that is a great thing for Miami on both ends of the floor. I know there is a belief in the Heat's locker room that after winning Game 3, they can beat the Lakers and win this series. I love the first-half Heat play because the confidence and the swag will still be high. I’m just not gutsy enough to make this a moneyline play overall, so give me the cushion and those points with Miami.

It's pretty amazing that the Heat won Game 3 with Goran Dragic (foot) and Bam Adebayo (neck) out. Jimmy Butler exploded for a 40-point triple-double and Kelly Olynyk once again provided a key spark off the bench. Dragic is expected to miss Game 4 too, but Adebayo has a chance of playing after being upgraded from doubtful to questionable. Anthony Davis isn’t going to only attempt nine shots again like he did in Game 3, but with Butler on a mission, I think the Heat keep this game close.