The surging Bucks have won 10 of their last 11, with the lone defeat coming at Indiana just before the All-Star break. They have won six straight, including a statement road victory in Toronto. But it appears they have some matchup issues with the Heat, who won in Milwaukee earlier this yer without Jimmy Butler and who are looking to get back on track after a losing record in February. Milwaukee struggled past Charlotte on Sunday and could see its win streak end Monday.

Milwaukee is on the second half of a back-to-back and Miami needs this game to believe it can beat the Bucks in the playoffs. The Heat have won in Milwaukee and are 25-4 at home. The home-court edge is the difference.

The Bucks played Sunday night, but that’s not a big deal for them. They have gone 7-1 ATS with no rest. They’ve won their last six (5-1 ATS) and are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 overall. The Heat are allowing an average of 118 ppg in their last five, which has helped them ride a seven-game Over streak. Bucks are the top play Monday.