The Bucs are kicking themselves that they're not 2-0 already in this set at loanDepot Park, thanks to a late meltdown on Thursday, before restoring order last night. New Marlins skipper Clayton McCullough has already been in scramble mode with his rotation with Valente Bellozo recalled from AAA Jacksonville on Thursday to take a spot in the rotation due to injuries suffered by Ryan Weathers (forearm) and Edward Cabrera (blister). Meanwhile, Derek Shelton has some questions about his Pittsburgh bullpen after less-then-stellar work in the first two games, but the Bucs did show some life at the plate last night, and Bailey Falter would seem at no disadvantage vs. Bellozo. Play Pirates on Money Line.

Really the same deal as yesterday in this game when we won on the same prop on Miami's Connor Gillispie: Not really about the pitcher but about the lineup he is facing. And, like I will say often, a manager WANTS to let his starter qualify for W if at all possible -- obviously openers aside. Kinda doubt the Fish shell Falter even if he's not great, so this should be a pitch count thing.