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Sat, Oct 058:08 pm UTCCitizens Bank Park
78 F
Track OnCBS Sports
New York
Mets
NYM
Last 5 ML
W/L96-79
ATS92-80
O/U93-77-5
FINAL SCORE
6
-
2
Philadelphia
Phillies
PHI
Last 5 ML
W/L96-70
ATS75-90
O/U82-76-8
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ML
96-79
Win /Loss
96-70
92-80
Spread
75-90
93-77-5
Over / Under
82-76-8
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
NYM @ PHI
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MONEYLINE
NYM @ PHI
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OVER / UNDER
NYM @ PHI
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19%
PUBLIC
81%
MONEY
15%
PUBLIC
85%
MONEY
Over62%
PUBLIC
Under38%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Money LinePhiladelphia -182
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1027.25
78-44 in Last 122 MLB ML Picks
+1162.5
69-42 in Last 111 NYM ML Picks
Matt's Analysis:

Sure feels like fortune is smiling upon the Mets, but I do think they are due one kinda blowout game after the past crazy week. Philly's Zack Wheeler is about as money as they come in the playoffs.

Pick Made: Oct 05, 5:46 pm UTC on BetMGM
Point SpreadPhiladelphia -1.5 +126
LOSS
Unit1.0
+396
16-14 in Last 30 MLB ATS Picks
+398
7-4 in Last 11 NYM ATS Picks
Matt's Analysis:

Zack Wheeler is gonna deal here against a Mets' lineup running mostly on fumes (also vibes, but that only goes so far against this rested pitching staff). It's also hard to trust Kodai Senga or the Mets' bullpen. As I love to say, the most likely scenario is a comfortable Phillies win.

Pick Made: Oct 05, 4:49 pm UTC on FanDuel
Point SpreadPhiladelphia -1.5 +124
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1732
229-217-4 in Last 450 MLB Picks
+343
12-9 in Last 21 MLB ATS Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

Some Mets magic in Milwaukee this week, and with the hot hand, Carlos Mendoza rolls the dice again in Game 1 by sending out Kodai Senga, who hasn't pitched since July 26 due to triceps issues. The Phils, however, have excelled in this round (vs. the Braves) the past two seasons. Zack Wheeler continued his torrid pace thru September, when he posted a 2.23 ERA in five starts. At CBP this season, Wheeler spun a 2.31 ERA and posted a 10-3 record. It's also been a grueling week for the Mets, who had to fly away from Milwaukee on Sunday, then back again the next night after a Monday doubleheader in Atlanta. Does it catch up with them tonight? Play Phillies on Run Line

Pick Made: Oct 05, 9:17 am UTC on DraftKings

Team Injuries

New York Mets
Friday, Mar 28, 2025
Avatar
SP
Sean Manaea
ObliqueIl
Avatar
2B
Jeff McNeil
ObliqueIl
Avatar
2B
Ronny Mauricio
KneeIl
Thursday, Mar 27, 2025
Avatar
RP
Frankie Montas
LatIl
Avatar
RP
Luis Ortiz
ElbowIl
Avatar
RP
Adbert Alzolay
ElbowIl
Avatar
C
Francisco Alvarez
HandIl
Wednesday, Mar 26, 2025
Avatar
SP
Paul Blackburn
KneeIl
Saturday, Mar 01, 2025
Avatar
SP
Christian Scott
ElbowIl
Friday, Feb 28, 2025
Avatar
3B
Nick Madrigal
ShoulderIl
Saturday, Feb 15, 2025
Avatar
RP
Drew Smith
ElbowIl
Philadelphia Phillies
Saturday, Mar 29, 2025
Avatar
C
J.T. Realmuto
FootProbable
Avatar
SS
Trea Turner
BackProbable
Thursday, Mar 27, 2025
Avatar
LF
Weston Wilson
ObliqueIl
Avatar
SP
Ranger Suarez
BackIl

Season Splits

All Games
ALL
All Games
54%
90-74, +840
104-58, +2092
64%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
54%
46-38, +874
57-24, +1450
70%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
46%
41-47, +8
78-37, +1032
67%
When Line was +136 to +166
MONEY LINE
When Line was -196 to -166
33%
3-6, -145
16-5, +402
76%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
47%
28-31, +245
50-17, +1231
74%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
47%
37-41, -179
24-27, -568
47%
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
55%
20-16, +337
74-38, +1524
66%
After a Day Off
REST
After a Day Off
45%
10-12, -50
12-5, +426
70%
vs PHI
HEAD TO HEAD
vs NYM
46%
6-7, -46
8-6, +27
57%
when Kodai Senga starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Zack Wheeler starts
0%
0-0, 0
14-9, -222
60%
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